- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
PSAN
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PSI Software SE · Technology · Software - Application
Latest close
44.80 EUR
-2.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -3.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
44.80 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.4%.
Indicator stack
38/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
51/100
10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 88.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.4%, after a -3.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5812-week average 0.58
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.58Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.4% over four weeks, -2.4% over 12 weeks, and 65.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.52Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change22.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-121.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 77%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength10/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum89/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 63.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 27.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -3.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 1.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -9.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 9.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
1 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.3%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-3.0%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-2.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains13
Flat weeks1
Modest losses12
Sharp losses0
Recent vol1.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Technology
4-week rank64 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Software - Application
4-week rank22 / 25
Group average7.5%
Trend breadth24.0%
Trend24.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.58; No reversal markers Factors26/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 75; Small Cap Core rank 95 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
Guidewire Software Drops 9.0% Amid Sector-Wide Selling Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 44.80 EUR | -2.4% | 45.38 EUR | 30.04 EUR | -0.52 | -2.00 | 3.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 45.90 EUR | 0.9% | 45.39 EUR | 29.92 EUR | -0.18 | 3.78 | 6.5K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 45.50 EUR | 1.1% | 45.36 EUR | 29.78 EUR | -0.47 | 5.76 | 3.5K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 45.00 EUR | -3.0% | 45.34 EUR | 29.67 EUR | -0.63 | 6.40 | 657 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 46.40 EUR | 1.3% | 45.38 EUR | 29.57 EUR | -0.68 | 9.37 | 4.4K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 45.80 EUR | 1.8% | 45.33 EUR | 29.47 EUR | -1.12 | 5.69 | 164 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 45.00 EUR | -0.2% | 45.31 EUR | 29.38 EUR | -1.23 | 9.17 | 3 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 45.10 EUR | -0.4% | 45.31 EUR | 29.30 EUR | -1.26 | 8.73 | 39 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 45.30 EUR | 0.2% | 45.31 EUR | 29.22 EUR | -1.23 | 11.52 | 863 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 45.20 EUR | 0.4% | 45.27 EUR | 29.15 EUR | -1.08 | 11.48 | 357 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 45.00 EUR | 0.0% | 45.27 EUR | 29.07 EUR | -1.04 | 10.20 | 755 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 45.00 EUR | -2.0% | 45.27 EUR | 29.00 EUR | -0.98 | 11.77 | 4.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 45.90 EUR | 1.8% | 45.27 EUR | 28.94 EUR | -0.90 | 19.27 | 2.4K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 45.10 EUR | -0.2% | 45.24 EUR | 28.84 EUR | -0.87 | 16.19 | 1.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.