- The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MSF
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Microsoft Corporation · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Latest close
434.4 EUR
9.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.4%, after a 29.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 65/100.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
434.4 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
9.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
29.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
19.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
30.8%
16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.9x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
9.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 29.4%.
Indicator stack
20/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
65/100
197 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.4%, after a 29.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3012-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 29.4% over four weeks, 19.9% over 12 weeks, and -1.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.93Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change3245.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change129.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength17/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Value11/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework39/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 25.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 10.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 16.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 68.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 46.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 22.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 25.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 14.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 15.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -3.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.6% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment65/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 197 relevant articles.
115 positive · 56 neutral · 26 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+9.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol6.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Technology
4-week rank4 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Software - Infrastructure
4-week rank2 / 14
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD42.9%positive activity pressure
RS35.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis31/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.30; 1 reversal markers Factors36/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 33 SVQF39/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 229.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment65/100Weighted news tone is positive across 197 relevant articles.
Why Netflix Stock Popped Today Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 434.4 EUR | 9.4% | 351.1 EUR | 375.3 EUR | 0.93 | 4.87 | 278.2K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 396.9 EUR | 17.4% | 350.2 EUR | 374.4 EUR | 0.54 | -1.80 | 417.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 338.0 EUR | -1.2% | 350.3 EUR | 373.7 EUR | 0.15 | -15.00 | 136.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 342.0 EUR | 1.9% | 352.8 EUR | 373.5 EUR | 0.15 | -13.53 | 224.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 335.6 EUR | -0.9% | 355.1 EUR | 373.2 EUR | -0.03 | -16.35 | 175.1K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 338.6 EUR | 4.2% | 357.4 EUR | 373.0 EUR | -0.13 | -18.35 | 35.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 325.0 EUR | -1.5% | 359.8 EUR | 372.8 EUR | -0.01 | -18.54 | 78.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 330.1 EUR | -1.5% | 363.0 EUR | 372.6 EUR | 0.30 | -18.73 | 17.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 335.1 EUR | -8.2% | 365.6 EUR | 372.4 EUR | 0.53 | -16.75 | 46.9K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 364.9 EUR | -3.9% | 368.9 EUR | 372.3 EUR | 0.70 | -10.21 | 43.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 379.8 EUR | 5.0% | 370.9 EUR | 371.8 EUR | 0.75 | -8.07 | 184.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 361.5 EUR | -0.2% | 373.1 EUR | 371.3 EUR | 0.56 | -11.89 | 166.5K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 362.4 EUR | 2.8% | 375.9 EUR | 371.0 EUR | 0.48 | -8.44 | 134.4K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 352.5 EUR | 2.9% | 378.3 EUR | 370.5 EUR | 0.50 | -12.53 | 186.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.