- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.43% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
MAD
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Mader Group Limited · Industrials · Specialty Business Services
Latest close
7.43 AUD
7.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.7%, after a -6.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
7.43 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
7.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-10.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.9%.
Indicator stack
28/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.43%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.7%, after a -6.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5512-week average 0.58
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.55Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.9% over four weeks, -10.5% over 12 weeks, and -4.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1412.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1060.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength24/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth87/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 26.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 19.3% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 6.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 4.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 18.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 12.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 12.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 52.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+7.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Industrials
4-week rank87 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Specialty Business Services
4-week rank9 / 11
Group average1.1%
Trend breadth27.3%
Trend27.3%active weekly trend signals
MD27.3%positive activity pressure
RS36.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape39/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 39/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis53/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.55; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.43%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.43% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors36/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 69; Small Cap Core rank 90 SVQF30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 181.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Despite selling recently, Mader Group Limited (ASX:MAD) insiders own 68% stake and recent decline might have cost them Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 7.43 AUD | 7.7% | 7.96 AUD | 6.83 AUD | -0.86 | -12.26 | 709.1K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.90 AUD | -5.9% | 7.96 AUD | 6.82 AUD | -0.81 | -16.06 | 512.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 7.33 AUD | -1.7% | 7.98 AUD | 6.82 AUD | -0.52 | -8.85 | 331.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 7.46 AUD | -6.5% | 7.99 AUD | 6.81 AUD | -0.32 | -7.49 | 245.5K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7.98 AUD | -2.6% | 7.99 AUD | 6.80 AUD | 0.07 | -1.06 | 288.9K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 8.19 AUD | 5.7% | 7.98 AUD | 6.79 AUD | 0.24 | 1.39 | 77.2K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.75 AUD | -4.9% | 7.96 AUD | 6.77 AUD | 0.36 | -2.92 | 66.5K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 8.15 AUD | -1.0% | 7.98 AUD | 6.75 AUD | 0.42 | 1.59 | 194.1K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 8.23 AUD | -3.3% | 7.97 AUD | 6.73 AUD | 0.22 | 3.39 | 56.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 8.51 AUD | 1.7% | 7.98 AUD | 6.71 AUD | 0.16 | 9.68 | 387.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 8.37 AUD | 0.6% | 7.98 AUD | 6.69 AUD | -0.25 | 7.22 | 56.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 8.32 AUD | 0.2% | 7.99 AUD | 6.67 AUD | -0.44 | 8.05 | 303.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 8.30 AUD | 7.8% | 8.04 AUD | 6.64 AUD | -0.53 | 8.71 | 644.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.70 AUD | -2.0% | 8.04 AUD | 6.62 AUD | -0.54 | 0.03 | 326.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.