LSE Equity Snapshot

FGP Weekly Equity Report

FirstGroup plc

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 172.7 GBP 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 4.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

FirstGroup plc provides public transport services in the United Kingdom. It operates through First Bus and First Rail segments. The First Bus segment offers local bus services with a fleet of approximately 5,800 buses and coaches in the United Kingdom. The First Rail segment operates a passenger rail network that provides long-distance, commuter, regional, and sleeper services through a portfolio of Great Western Railway, South Western Railway, and Avanti West Coast franchises; and hull trains and Lumos. FirstGroup plc was founded in 1986 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

FGP closed the latest completed week at 172.7 GBP. The 4-week return is 4.9% and the 12-week return is 1.7%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.06. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 33/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -3.3%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 21 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 63 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 56 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 28 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 27 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
178.6 GBP
Vs Trend Line
-3.3%
Fair Value
173.1 GBP
Vs Fair Value
-0.2%
52W High
240.4 GBP
52W Low
152.1 GBP
Drawdown
-28.2%
Range Position
23.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 1.7%
4W 4.9%
12W 1.7%
26W -8.2%
52W -24.1%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
20
52W Active Breadth
38.5%
Sector Scope
GB Industrials
Sector Rank
46 of 169
Sector Percentile
73.2%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.06
4W MD Change
92.4%
Relative Strength
-17.97
4W RS Change
16.9%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
50.43%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
3.6M
13W Average
5.4M
52W Average
6.2M
Vs 13W
0.7x
Vs 52W
0.6x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.7%
52W Volatility
2.8%
Upside Weeks
20
Downside Weeks
30
Downside Breadth
57.7%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.1% / -2.2%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
LSE
Country
GB
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Railroads
Currency
GBP
Market Cap
929.8M

Opportunity signals

  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and Market Dynamics.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 172.7 GBP 1.7% 178.6 GBP 173.1 GBP -0.06 -17.97 3.6M Off
5 Jun 2026 169.8 GBP -0.8% 179.6 GBP 172.8 GBP -0.40 -19.25 4.6M Off
29 May 2026 171.2 GBP 2.3% 180.7 GBP 172.7 GBP -0.68 -19.34 3.9M Off
22 May 2026 167.4 GBP 1.7% 182.0 GBP 172.3 GBP -0.83 -21.96 7.4M Off
15 May 2026 164.6 GBP -0.1% 183.5 GBP 172.0 GBP -0.83 -21.63 7.8M Off
8 May 2026 164.7 GBP 2.2% 184.9 GBP 171.7 GBP -0.74 -22.26 5.2M Off
1 May 2026 161.1 GBP -5.7% 186.5 GBP 171.3 GBP -0.72 -25.29 6.2M Off
24 Apr 2026 170.8 GBP -4.9% 188.4 GBP 171.1 GBP -0.72 -21.31 6.2M Off
17 Apr 2026 179.6 GBP 3.0% 190.0 GBP 170.7 GBP -0.85 -19.71 2.9M Off
10 Apr 2026 174.3 GBP 1.7% 191.2 GBP 170.3 GBP -0.87 -21.81 2.3M Off
3 Apr 2026 171.4 GBP 1.5% 192.7 GBP 169.8 GBP -0.71 -22.13 6.0M Off
27 Mar 2026 168.9 GBP -0.5% 194.1 GBP 169.4 GBP -0.53 -19.79 4.6M Off
20 Mar 2026 169.8 GBP -2.5% 195.9 GBP 169.0 GBP -0.21 -19.11 9.2M Off
13 Mar 2026 174.1 GBP -0.9% 197.8 GBP 168.6 GBP 0.02 -20.01 3.7M Off