- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
LPPF
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT MDS Retailing Tbk · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores
Latest close
1,595 IDR
2.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 65.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a 6.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
54
out of 100
Latest Close
1,595 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.0%.
Indicator stack
24/43
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 65.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a 6.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.45
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.0% over four weeks, -3.3% over 12 weeks, and 17.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change55.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-20.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.3%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+2.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank46 / 100
Group average8.6%
Trend breadth13.0%
Trend13.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.0%positive activity pressure
RS65.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Department Stores
4-week rank2 / 8
Group average4.8%
Trend breadth12.5%
Trend12.5%active weekly trend signals
MD62.5%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1,595 IDR | 2.6% | 1,603 IDR | 1,369 IDR | -0.63 | 20.03 | 4.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,555 IDR | -0.3% | 1,600 IDR | 1,373 IDR | -0.90 | 21.05 | 7.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,560 IDR | -1.3% | 1,599 IDR | 1,377 IDR | -1.12 | 22.93 | 5.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,580 IDR | 5.0% | 1,597 IDR | 1,381 IDR | -1.26 | 25.51 | 6.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,505 IDR | 1.3% | 1,593 IDR | 1,386 IDR | -1.41 | 25.21 | 4.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,485 IDR | -2.0% | 1,590 IDR | 1,390 IDR | -1.37 | 25.04 | 990.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1,515 IDR | -0.3% | 1,589 IDR | 1,395 IDR | -1.36 | 27.62 | 1.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,520 IDR | -4.7% | 1,587 IDR | 1,401 IDR | -1.25 | 22.71 | 11.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,595 IDR | 6.3% | 1,586 IDR | 1,406 IDR | -1.16 | 32.90 | 1.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,500 IDR | -6.2% | 1,582 IDR | 1,411 IDR | -1.05 | 34.95 | 2.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,600 IDR | 0.3% | 1,582 IDR | 1,417 IDR | -0.85 | 32.14 | 5.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,595 IDR | -3.3% | 1,578 IDR | 1,424 IDR | -0.75 | 31.62 | 10.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,650 IDR | 0.6% | 1,574 IDR | 1,431 IDR | -0.49 | 25.27 | 9.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,640 IDR | 0.6% | 1,565 IDR | 1,437 IDR | -0.17 | 20.20 | 12.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.