- The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
GUG
NYSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Guggenheim Active Allocation Fund · Financial Services · Asset Management
Latest close
15.49 USD
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -1.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
53
out of 100
Latest Close
15.49 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
96.2%
50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.7%.
Indicator stack
98/33
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
54/100
41 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a -1.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7312-week average 0.76
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.7% over four weeks, -0.3% over 12 weeks, and 8.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-154.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-59.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Nov 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 68%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth36/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 8.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 81.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 79.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 54.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 9.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 9.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.
13 positive · 26 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+3.8%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.4% / -1.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Financial Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average2.7%
Trend breadth73.0%
Trend73.0%active weekly trend signals
MD86.0%positive activity pressure
RS46.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Asset Management
4-week rank93 / 100
Group average5.4%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS26.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis62/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.73; 2 reversal markers Factors47/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 64; Small Cap Core rank 35 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.
Guggenheim Investments Announces August 2026 Closed-End Fund Distributions Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 15.49 USD | 0.3% | 15.48 USD | 13.45 USD | -0.23 | -8.83 | 403.6K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 15.45 USD | 0.3% | 15.46 USD | 13.42 USD | 0.13 | -6.08 | 413.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 15.40 USD | -5.9% | 15.43 USD | 13.39 USD | 0.51 | -5.53 | 550.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 16.37 USD | 3.8% | 15.41 USD | 13.36 USD | 0.70 | -0.31 | 521.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 15.76 USD | -0.5% | 15.36 USD | 13.32 USD | 0.43 | -5.53 | 484.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 15.84 USD | 0.9% | 15.32 USD | 13.29 USD | 0.50 | -3.93 | 331.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 15.71 USD | 0.9% | 15.28 USD | 13.26 USD | 0.40 | -2.86 | 213.9K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 15.57 USD | -2.4% | 15.25 USD | 13.22 USD | 0.64 | -6.17 | 296.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 15.94 USD | 2.7% | 15.21 USD | 13.19 USD | 0.75 | -3.26 | 348.1K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 15.53 USD | -3.4% | 15.15 USD | 13.16 USD | 0.51 | -5.39 | 452.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 16.08 USD | 1.3% | 15.12 USD | 13.13 USD | 0.43 | -4.65 | 686.7K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 15.88 USD | 2.2% | 15.08 USD | 13.09 USD | 0.13 | -4.64 | 410.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.53 USD | -0.5% | 15.05 USD | 13.05 USD | -0.15 | -6.12 | 299.0K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 15.61 USD | -0.8% | 15.02 USD | 13.02 USD | -0.14 | -5.64 | 323.8K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.