- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.51% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
TEF
MCE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Telefónica, S.A. · Communication Services · Telecom Services
Latest close
3.67 EUR
2.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a 4.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
3.67 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
30.8%
16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.1%.
Indicator stack
17/45
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 62.51%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 29.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.3%, after a 4.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3212-week average 0.45
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.1% over four weeks, -3.2% over 12 weeks, and -17.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change31.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.67Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change16.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-4.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorES Communication Services
4-week rank3 / 11
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth9.1%
Trend9.1%active weekly trend signals
MD54.5%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryES Telecom Services
4-week rank2 / 4
Group average7.6%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis38/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.51%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.51% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.
Telefónica, S.A. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (OTCMKTS:TELFY) 2026-05-14 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 3.67 EUR | 2.3% | 3.66 EUR | 3.70 EUR | -0.43 | -17.67 | 45.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.59 EUR | -0.3% | 3.65 EUR | 3.70 EUR | -0.63 | -18.80 | 57.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.60 EUR | -0.6% | 3.65 EUR | 3.69 EUR | -0.76 | -18.62 | 48.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.62 EUR | 2.6% | 3.64 EUR | 3.69 EUR | -0.75 | -17.50 | 61.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.53 EUR | -0.7% | 3.64 EUR | 3.69 EUR | -0.63 | -21.09 | 41.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.55 EUR | -2.8% | 3.64 EUR | 3.68 EUR | -0.28 | -23.22 | 5.6M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.65 EUR | -1.1% | 3.64 EUR | 3.68 EUR | -0.02 | -20.19 | 11.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.69 EUR | -2.6% | 3.64 EUR | 3.68 EUR | 0.30 | -19.73 | 43.9M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.79 EUR | 1.6% | 3.63 EUR | 3.67 EUR | 0.58 | -15.82 | 10.5M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.73 EUR | -1.4% | 3.62 EUR | 3.67 EUR | 0.76 | -15.98 | 9.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.79 EUR | -3.2% | 3.62 EUR | 3.66 EUR | 0.88 | -15.53 | 62.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.91 EUR | 3.2% | 3.63 EUR | 3.66 EUR | 0.78 | -11.61 | 59.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.79 EUR | 1.7% | 3.64 EUR | 3.65 EUR | 0.67 | -13.14 | 93.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 3.73 EUR | 0.5% | 3.66 EUR | 3.65 EUR | 0.51 | -16.39 | 45.9M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.