- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AV
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Aviva plc · Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
Latest close
712.6 GBP
2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 7.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
65
out of 100
Latest Close
712.6 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
14.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
48.1%
25 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.7%.
Indicator stack
33/86
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.07%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.8%, after a 7.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4012-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.7% over four weeks, 14.9% over 12 weeks, and 9.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year25
Trend breadth48.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.52Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change105.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change117.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 60%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value88/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Quality8/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Momentum19/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 20.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -25.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -4.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 43.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 32.0% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -133.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 5.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 7.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -5.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
0 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility1.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.7%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-8.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol1.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Financial Services
4-week rank13 / 100
Group average2.1%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS53.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Insurance - Diversified
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average9.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape60/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis26/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.40; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.07%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.07% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors41/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 25 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
How National Grid (LSE:NG) And Aviva (LSE:AV) Put Dividend Stocks Back On The London Watchlist Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 712.6 GBP | 2.8% | 641.5 GBP | 542.0 GBP | 1.52 | 0.65 | 48.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 693.4 GBP | 0.3% | 640.4 GBP | 539.9 GBP | 1.37 | -1.94 | 38.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 691.0 GBP | 2.7% | 640.1 GBP | 537.9 GBP | 1.22 | -1.26 | 29.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 672.6 GBP | 1.7% | 639.8 GBP | 536.0 GBP | 1.00 | -2.81 | 24.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 661.4 GBP | -1.0% | 640.0 GBP | 534.2 GBP | 0.74 | -3.70 | 30.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 668.4 GBP | 3.3% | 639.6 GBP | 532.5 GBP | 0.42 | -4.54 | 4.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 647.0 GBP | 1.9% | 638.8 GBP | 530.6 GBP | -0.14 | -6.28 | 2.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 634.8 GBP | 1.1% | 638.9 GBP | 529.0 GBP | -0.46 | -7.01 | 15.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 627.8 GBP | 4.1% | 639.0 GBP | 527.4 GBP | -0.58 | -9.24 | 5.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 603.2 GBP | -1.6% | 639.5 GBP | 525.9 GBP | -0.62 | -12.14 | 5.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 613.2 GBP | -2.0% | 641.9 GBP | 524.6 GBP | -0.50 | -11.36 | 42.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 625.6 GBP | 0.9% | 643.8 GBP | 523.3 GBP | -0.43 | -10.34 | 37.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 620.2 GBP | 0.1% | 645.2 GBP | 521.9 GBP | -0.61 | -9.02 | 62.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 619.8 GBP | -1.2% | 646.3 GBP | 520.5 GBP | -0.75 | -9.60 | 31.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.