VFY ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

VITRAFY FPO [VFY] · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Latest close 3.99 AUD
14.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 69.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.0%, after a 37.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 79 out of 100
Latest Close 3.99 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 14.0% latest completed week
4W Return 37.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 53.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 27-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 69.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 96.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.0%, after a 37.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.95

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 37.6% over four weeks, 53.5% over 12 weeks, and 152.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 27 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W14.0%
4W37.6%
12W53.5%
26W126.7%
52W152.5%
Active trend streak27 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-12.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership95.11Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change58.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 70% Model confidence 36%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength17/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Value6/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth94/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4098.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-3.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
100.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-25446.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-13519.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-128.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
76.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-12.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-12.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

3 positive · 13 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-19.4%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+14.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses3
Recent vol11.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.2% / -6.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263.99 AUD14.0%2.36 AUD1.78 AUD0.6995.11966.4KOn
31 Jul 20263.50 AUD9.4%2.27 AUD1.75 AUD0.5280.57183.5KOn
24 Jul 20263.20 AUD14.3%2.19 AUD1.73 AUD0.5472.02339.0KOn
17 Jul 20262.80 AUD-3.4%2.13 AUD1.72 AUD0.6152.54167.2KOn
10 Jul 20262.90 AUD-7.1%2.08 AUD1.70 AUD0.7859.99270.1KOn
3 Jul 20263.12 AUD-1.3%2.03 AUD1.69 AUD1.1073.9843.3KOn
26 Jun 20263.16 AUD12.1%1.97 AUD1.67 AUD1.3281.0845.0KOn
19 Jun 20262.82 AUD-19.4%1.92 AUD1.65 AUD1.5263.34197.7KOn
12 Jun 20263.50 AUD7.7%1.87 AUD1.64 AUD1.73106.66295.1KOn
5 Jun 20263.25 AUD25.5%1.81 AUD1.61 AUD1.70100.4577.7KOn
29 May 20262.59 AUD-2.3%1.75 AUD1.59 AUD1.7861.15207.8KOn
22 May 20262.65 AUD1.9%1.71 AUD1.58 AUD1.7868.3097.2KOn
15 May 20262.60 AUD4.0%1.67 AUD1.57 AUD1.7067.89139.8KOn
8 May 20262.50 AUD13.6%1.62 AUD1.55 AUD1.5561.10476.4KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context