HKD NYSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

AMTD Digital Inc. · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 1.70 USD
5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 10.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.6%, after a 10.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 1.70 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.6% latest completed week
4W Return 10.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.37% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.4%. Indicator stack 12/35 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.37% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 53/100 30 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 10.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.6%, after a 10.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2712-week average 0.41

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.4% over four weeks, 3.0% over 12 weeks, and 3.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.6%
4W10.4%
12W3.0%
26W17.2%
52W3.7%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-57.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.14Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change50.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 98%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength48/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Value67/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Quality30/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Momentum28/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework76/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
5.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
43.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
125.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
16.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
20.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
82.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-10.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

10 positive · 18 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-68.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.1%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-10.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+5.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks4
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.9% / -6.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis42/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.27; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.37%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.37% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 61; Small Cap Core rank 72 SVQF76/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 247.5 of 1018 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 30 relevant articles.

AMTD Digital Inc (HKD) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261.70 USD5.6%1.62 USD2.76 USD-0.57-8.14665.7KOn
31 Jul 20261.61 USD0.0%1.61 USD2.79 USD-0.73-10.24455.9KOff
24 Jul 20261.61 USD0.0%1.60 USD2.83 USD-0.66-9.66550.9KOff
17 Jul 20261.61 USD4.5%1.59 USD2.86 USD-0.55-10.72630.3KOff
10 Jul 20261.54 USD-3.1%1.58 USD2.89 USD-0.37-16.41644.2KOn
3 Jul 20261.59 USD0.0%1.58 USD2.92 USD0.04-13.08642.8KOn
26 Jun 20261.59 USD-6.5%1.58 USD2.96 USD0.27-11.72931.7KOn
19 Jun 20261.70 USD-1.2%1.58 USD2.99 USD0.61-8.32843.2KOn
12 Jun 20261.72 USD3.0%1.57 USD3.02 USD0.69-6.921.7MOn
5 Jun 20261.67 USD-8.2%1.57 USD3.05 USD0.62-9.612.2MOn
29 May 20261.82 USD9.0%1.57 USD3.08 USD0.64-4.881.0MOn
22 May 20261.67 USD1.2%1.61 USD3.11 USD0.57-12.23967.3KOff
15 May 20261.65 USD0.0%1.61 USD3.14 USD0.62-13.411.0MOff
8 May 20261.65 USD-6.3%1.61 USD3.17 USD0.69-14.121.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context