REFR NASDAQ Week ended 11 Sep 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Research Frontiers Incorporated · Technology · Electronic Components

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Latest close 0.389 USD
-6.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -44.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.2%, after a -11.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 64/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 47d.

Setup score 20 out of 100
Latest Close 0.389 USD 11 Sep 2026
1W Return -6.2% latest completed week
4W Return -11.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -35.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.09% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -6.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -11.6%. Indicator stack 8/60 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.09% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 64/100 conviction; expected move 565.6%. News sentiment 50/100 2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 47d Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -44.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.2%, after a -11.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0112-week average 0.01

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -11.6% over four weeks, -35.2% over 12 weeks, and -68.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.2%
4W-11.6%
12W-35.2%
26W-61.5%
52W-68.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change105.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-67.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 11 Sep 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value53/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Quality51/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Momentum54/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Growth53/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
20.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-11.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
86.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-348.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-238.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-151.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-46.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-10.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-10.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

REFR shows volatility options pressure with a 64/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 565.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction64/100
Expected move565.6%
Put/call volume
Pressure-89
Speculation2
Volatility96
Trend agreement64
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings47dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move565.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-85.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-20.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-6.2%Week of 11 Sep.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses12
Recent vol11.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/32Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.4% / -8.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape22/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis10/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.09%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.09% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors53/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 92 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options57/100

REFR shows volatility options pressure with a 64/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 565.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 565.6% Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

Research Frontiers Incorporated (NASDAQ: REFR) Share Price, REFR Stock News, REFR Share Price & Updates Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings47d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
11 Sep 20260.389 USD-6.2%0.7062 USD1.38 USD0.06-67.52451.9KOff
4 Sep 20260.4147 USD-10.3%0.7265 USD1.39 USD-0.08-66.18778.8KOff
28 Aug 20260.4621 USD3.8%0.75 USD1.39 USD-0.26-62.891.2MOff
21 Aug 20260.4451 USD1.2%0.7746 USD1.40 USD-0.72-64.78518.8KOff
14 Aug 20260.44 USD-9.6%0.8021 USD1.41 USD-1.04-66.68342.9KOff
7 Aug 20260.4865 USD21.6%0.8318 USD1.41 USD-1.18-63.51639.0KOff
31 Jul 20260.4002 USD-13.3%0.8572 USD1.42 USD-1.31-69.10405.5KOff
24 Jul 20260.4615 USD-15.5%0.8866 USD1.43 USD-1.14-65.00222.1KOff
17 Jul 20260.546 USD-0.9%0.9172 USD1.44 USD-0.91-60.28244.8KOff
10 Jul 20260.5508 USD0.6%0.9477 USD1.44 USD-0.74-62.48284.2KOff
3 Jul 20260.5475 USD14.2%0.9806 USD1.45 USD-0.54-62.78423.6KOff
26 Jun 20260.4795 USD-20.1%1.02 USD1.46 USD-0.49-67.78307.0KOff
19 Jun 20260.60 USD-15.5%1.06 USD1.47 USD-0.44-62.30239.2KOff
12 Jun 20260.71 USD-3.8%1.11 USD1.47 USD-0.43-55.20172.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context