- The trend backdrop is active with a 20-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
TLW
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Tullow Oil plc · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
0.14 GBP
-8.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.6%, after a 12.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
55
out of 100
Latest Close
0.14 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-8.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-15.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- The latest week was a sharp negative move.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-8.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.0%.
Indicator stack
66/48
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.6%, after a 12.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4912-week average 0.68
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.0% over four weeks, -15.9% over 12 weeks, and 39.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 20 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak20 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change54.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership18.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change124.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 65%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 29.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 24.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 16.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 9.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -33.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -88.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -74.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- - Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- - Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
2 positive · 22 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+39.9%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-18.3%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-8.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains13
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses1
Sharp losses8
Recent vol9.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.7% / -8.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Energy
4-week rank19 / 93
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth34.4%
Trend34.4%active weekly trend signals
MD31.2%positive activity pressure
RS24.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank15 / 68
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth35.3%
Trend35.3%active weekly trend signals
MD30.9%positive activity pressure
RS26.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis68/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.49; No reversal markers Factors20/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 50 SVQF53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 165.5 of 351 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
Tullow Oil raises annual cash flow view on strong Ghana output, higher oil prices Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.14 GBP | -8.6% | 0.12 GBP | 0.21 GBP | -0.38 | 18.40 | 50.5M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.15 GBP | 6.7% | 0.12 GBP | 0.21 GBP | -0.41 | 30.41 | 51.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.14 GBP | 7.7% | 0.12 GBP | 0.21 GBP | -0.62 | 23.37 | 58.9M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.13 GBP | 6.7% | 0.12 GBP | 0.22 GBP | -0.82 | 15.39 | 41.0M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.12 GBP | 5.2% | 0.11 GBP | 0.22 GBP | -0.83 | 8.21 | 47.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.12 GBP | 7.1% | 0.11 GBP | 0.22 GBP | -0.60 | 0.03 | 5.3M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.11 GBP | -12.9% | 0.11 GBP | 0.22 GBP | -0.28 | -6.09 | 10.7M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.13 GBP | -18.3% | 0.11 GBP | 0.22 GBP | 0.09 | 7.84 | 11.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.16 GBP | 1.3% | 0.11 GBP | 0.22 GBP | 0.46 | 28.76 | 21.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.15 GBP | 1.6% | 0.10 GBP | 0.22 GBP | 0.68 | 27.01 | 38.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.15 GBP | -12.2% | 0.10 GBP | 0.22 GBP | 0.87 | 23.66 | 44.3M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.17 GBP | 3.6% | 0.10 GBP | 0.22 GBP | 1.08 | 39.72 | 86.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.17 GBP | 15.0% | 0.10 GBP | 0.22 GBP | 0.98 | 38.62 | 90.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.14 GBP | -10.9% | 0.10 GBP | 0.22 GBP | 0.88 | 20.04 | 162.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.