MCN MEX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

Latest close 9,516 MXN
2.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -3.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 9,516 MXN 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.0% latest completed week
4W Return -3.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.09% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a -3.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2512-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.4% over four weeks, 2.6% over 12 weeks, and -4.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.0%
4W-3.4%
12W2.6%
26W-14.2%
52W-4.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-55.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.01Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-14.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

2 positive · 1 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-7.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks3
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryMX Luxury Goods
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average-1.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20269,516 MXN2.0%10,257 MXN12,653 MXN0.15-17.01401Off
31 Jul 20269,330 MXN-2.3%10,395 MXN12,692 MXN0.22-18.91221Off
24 Jul 20269,550 MXN-4.3%10,534 MXN12,731 MXN0.32-16.70228Off
17 Jul 20269,979 MXN1.3%10,660 MXN12,773 MXN0.40-13.68538Off
10 Jul 20269,850 MXN1.4%10,772 MXN12,813 MXN0.34-14.9386Off
3 Jul 20269,715 MXN-1.1%10,893 MXN12,859 MXN0.20-17.230Off
26 Jun 20269,820 MXN-3.6%11,018 MXN12,899 MXN0.14-16.970Off
19 Jun 202610,188 MXN5.8%11,135 MXN12,939 MXN0.09-14.710Off
12 Jun 20269,626 MXN0.0%11,240 MXN12,976 MXN-0.11-20.010Off
5 Jun 20269,626 MXN-4.9%11,369 MXN13,018 MXN-0.29-18.173.9KOff
29 May 202610,120 MXN5.7%11,478 MXN13,055 MXN-0.47-17.33869Off
22 May 20269,570 MXN3.2%11,579 MXN13,092 MXN-0.66-21.88150Off
15 May 20269,271 MXN-3.9%11,682 MXN13,134 MXN-0.77-24.30104Off
8 May 20269,643 MXN-3.0%11,807 MXN13,181 MXN-0.59-23.81931Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context