- The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
CBA
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Commonwealth Bank of Australia · Financial Services · Banks - Diversified
Latest close
178.0 AUD
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 5.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
178.0 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
11.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
42.3%
22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.4%.
Indicator stack
34/68
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.84%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
29 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 5.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4712-week average 0.57
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.47Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.4% over four weeks, 11.7% over 12 weeks, and 3.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change146.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 67%
Model confidence 53%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality10/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Momentum84/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Growth16/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 29.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 10.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -0.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -8.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- - Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 7.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- - Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
8 positive · 16 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.9%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-9.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Financial Services
4-week rank21 / 100
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth43.0%
Trend43.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Banks - Diversified
4-week rank2 / 4
Group average5.1%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape58/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 58/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.47; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.84%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.84% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors27/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 11 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.
Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA) Sinks as Australia's Biggest Bank Becomes a Market Drag Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 178.0 AUD | 0.3% | 168.5 AUD | 141.0 AUD | 0.37 | 2.09 | 8.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 177.5 AUD | 2.0% | 167.6 AUD | 140.4 AUD | 0.10 | 5.04 | 9.3M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 174.0 AUD | 1.3% | 167.0 AUD | 139.9 AUD | -0.27 | 5.38 | 8.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 171.8 AUD | 1.7% | 166.5 AUD | 139.4 AUD | -0.56 | 3.78 | 8.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 168.9 AUD | 2.3% | 166.0 AUD | 138.9 AUD | -0.78 | 1.83 | 7.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 165.0 AUD | 1.9% | 165.5 AUD | 138.4 AUD | -0.98 | -1.03 | 1.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 162.0 AUD | -0.2% | 165.1 AUD | 137.9 AUD | -0.99 | -2.09 | 2.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 162.4 AUD | 1.8% | 164.7 AUD | 137.4 AUD | -0.91 | -2.84 | 5.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 159.5 AUD | -0.9% | 164.3 AUD | 136.9 AUD | -0.83 | -4.54 | 1.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 160.9 AUD | -2.5% | 164.1 AUD | 136.5 AUD | -0.63 | -1.93 | 9.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 165.0 AUD | -0.4% | 164.6 AUD | 136.0 AUD | -0.31 | -0.84 | 11.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 165.7 AUD | 3.9% | 164.7 AUD | 135.5 AUD | -0.08 | 0.27 | 11.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 159.4 AUD | -9.4% | 164.8 AUD | 135.0 AUD | 0.17 | -3.33 | 15.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 175.9 AUD | 1.7% | 165.0 AUD | 134.6 AUD | 0.45 | 5.16 | 8.7M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.