CPX TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Capital Power Corporation · Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers

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Latest close 64.80 CAD
-1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -13.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 64.80 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.6% latest completed week
4W Return -13.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 61.5% 32 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.27% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -13.5%. Indicator stack 79/46 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.27% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 48/100 27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -1.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 45.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -13.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8912-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -13.5% over four weeks, 2.5% over 12 weeks, and 11.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.6%
4W-13.5%
12W2.5%
26W12.0%
52W11.6%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year32
Trend breadth61.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-87.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-252.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength5/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality10/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework5/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
63.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
16.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
43.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
2.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
2.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-79.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
32.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-6.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.

5 positive · 19 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Utilities - Independent Power Producers
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-10.7%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

MXG · TOR-4.7%CPX · TOR-13.5%TA · TOR-14.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape52/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.89; 13 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.27%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.27% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors13/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 87; Small Cap Core rank 84 SVQF5/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 289.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.

Capital Power Stock Under Pressure as Weak Sentiment, Energy Market Uncertainty, and Valuation Concerns Weigh on Investor Confidence After August 06, 2026 Decline Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202664.80 CAD-1.6%65.68 CAD49.86 CAD0.19-9.922.7MOn
31 Jul 202665.87 CAD-8.2%65.47 CAD49.66 CAD0.90-5.724.5MOn
24 Jul 202671.74 CAD0.4%65.27 CAD49.47 CAD1.312.122.3MOn
17 Jul 202671.46 CAD-4.6%64.81 CAD49.23 CAD1.481.873.1MOn
10 Jul 202674.88 CAD1.5%64.38 CAD49.01 CAD1.526.503.7MOn
3 Jul 202673.80 CAD-0.4%63.88 CAD48.76 CAD1.195.20246.2KOn
26 Jun 202674.06 CAD1.7%63.46 CAD48.51 CAD0.966.53538.0KOn
19 Jun 202672.84 CAD3.8%62.99 CAD48.27 CAD0.804.92342.2KOn
12 Jun 202670.17 CAD1.6%62.50 CAD48.03 CAD0.501.21790.5KOn
5 Jun 202669.09 CAD-1.3%62.22 CAD47.82 CAD0.351.16600.3KOn
29 May 202669.98 CAD7.5%62.13 CAD47.63 CAD0.331.402.9MOn
22 May 202665.12 CAD3.0%62.11 CAD47.43 CAD0.25-4.842.2MOn
15 May 202663.22 CAD-3.5%62.26 CAD47.26 CAD0.43-5.963.1MOn
8 May 202665.53 CAD3.5%62.47 CAD47.11 CAD0.52-3.352.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context