TOR Equity Snapshot

TA Weekly Equity Report

TransAlta Corporation

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 18.76 CAD 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 6.0% latest completed week
4W Return 6.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 36.5% 19 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.1x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

TransAlta Corporation engages in the development, production, and sale of electric energy. It operates through Hydro, Wind and Solar, Gas, Energy Transition, and Energy Marketing segments. The Hydro segment holds interest of approximately 922 megawatts (MW) located in Alberta and Canada. The Wind and Solar segment has a net ownership interest of approximately 2,587 MW located in Alberta, Canada, the Unites States, and Western Australia, as well as battery storage facilities. The Gas segment has a net ownership interest of approximately 4834 MW located in Alberta, Canada, the Unites States, and Western Australia. The Energy …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

TA closed the latest completed week at 18.76 CAD. The 4-week return is 6.8% and the 12-week return is 15.7%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is 0.67. Setup signature: Deep recovery attempt with a 56/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 4.1%
Volume 2.1x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 20 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 80 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 100 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 27 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 86 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 22 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
18.02 CAD
Vs Trend Line
4.1%
Fair Value
14.11 CAD
Vs Fair Value
33.0%
52W High
24.86 CAD
52W Low
13.93 CAD
Drawdown
-24.5%
Range Position
44.2%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 6.0%
4W 6.8%
12W 15.7%
26W -1.3%
52W 25.7%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
19
52W Active Breadth
36.5%
Sector Scope
CA Utilities
Sector Rank
2 of 18
Sector Percentile
94.1%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
0.67
4W MD Change
1284.3%
Relative Strength
-8.24
4W RS Change
25.4%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
57.42%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
17.5M
13W Average
8.5M
52W Average
7.1M
Vs 13W
2.1x
Vs 52W
2.5x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.0%
52W Volatility
5.0%
Upside Weeks
30
Downside Weeks
22
Downside Breadth
42.3%
Avg Gain / Loss
4.0% / -4.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
TOR
Country
CA
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Currency
CAD
Market Cap
5.9B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 18.76 CAD 6.0% 18.02 CAD 14.11 CAD 0.67 -8.24 17.5M Off
5 Jun 2026 17.69 CAD -9.7% 18.07 CAD 14.07 CAD 0.35 -12.23 15.4M Off
29 May 2026 19.58 CAD 4.9% 18.20 CAD 14.03 CAD 0.29 -3.90 6.7M Off
22 May 2026 18.67 CAD 6.3% 18.37 CAD 13.99 CAD 0.10 -7.38 5.0M Off
15 May 2026 17.57 CAD 0.8% 18.54 CAD 13.95 CAD 0.05 -11.04 6.1M Off
8 May 2026 17.43 CAD 3.2% 18.73 CAD 13.91 CAD 0.08 -12.27 10.7M Off
1 May 2026 16.88 CAD -0.5% 18.87 CAD 13.88 CAD 0.08 -14.44 8.9M Off
24 Apr 2026 16.97 CAD -1.9% 18.97 CAD 13.85 CAD 0.14 -14.03 7.0M Off
17 Apr 2026 17.30 CAD -10.3% 19.04 CAD 13.81 CAD 0.29 -13.49 5.5M Off
10 Apr 2026 19.29 CAD 3.2% 19.08 CAD 13.78 CAD 0.19 -1.62 4.5M Off
3 Apr 2026 18.69 CAD 4.0% 19.02 CAD 13.73 CAD -0.04 -2.75 5.5M Off
27 Mar 2026 17.98 CAD 10.9% 18.96 CAD 13.68 CAD -0.21 -2.87 9.8M Off
20 Mar 2026 16.22 CAD -5.2% 18.92 CAD 13.64 CAD -0.31 -10.51 7.9M Off
13 Mar 2026 17.11 CAD -1.2% 18.93 CAD 13.60 CAD -0.37 -9.26 5.3M Off