603268 SHH Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co.,Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

Latest close 183.1 CNY
20.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 41.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.0%, after a 14.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 183.1 CNY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 20.0% latest completed week
4W Return 14.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 56-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.61% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 41.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 97.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.0%, after a 14.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8312-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 14.7% over four weeks, 16.8% over 12 weeks, and 287.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 56 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W20.0%
4W14.7%
12W16.8%
26W119.5%
52W287.2%
Active trend streak56 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.20Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-76.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership84.56Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.8%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-11.7%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+20.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses3
Recent vol7.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.3% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026183.1 CNY20.0%129.2 CNY50.56 CNY-0.2084.5645.5MOn
31 Jul 2026152.6 CNY0.4%125.8 CNY49.54 CNY-0.1862.2539.0MOn
24 Jul 2026152.1 CNY7.8%123.6 CNY48.71 CNY-0.1665.9540.6MOn
17 Jul 2026141.0 CNY-11.7%121.0 CNY47.89 CNY-0.2059.3752.0MOn
10 Jul 2026159.7 CNY7.5%119.0 CNY47.15 CNY-0.1173.5576.7MOn
3 Jul 2026148.5 CNY3.3%116.4 CNY46.28 CNY-0.3263.3710.4MOn
26 Jun 2026143.8 CNY-1.7%113.8 CNY45.49 CNY-0.2862.446.0MOn
19 Jun 2026146.3 CNY-1.1%111.3 CNY44.70 CNY-0.0766.2528.7MOn
12 Jun 2026147.9 CNY4.1%108.8 CNY43.87 CNY0.2074.266.6MOn
5 Jun 2026142.1 CNY3.4%106.0 CNY43.03 CNY0.7171.568.7MOn
29 May 2026137.4 CNY-3.2%103.1 CNY42.23 CNY1.1767.9330.9MOn
22 May 2026142.0 CNY-9.4%100.4 CNY41.45 CNY1.6275.3432.3MOn
15 May 2026156.8 CNY1.5%97.28 CNY40.64 CNY1.9096.7533.7MOn
8 May 2026154.5 CNY3.4%93.64 CNY39.73 CNY1.7396.9923.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context