- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
UPSS34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Latest close
33.33 BRL
0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -6.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
33.33 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
8.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
25.0%
13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.0%.
Indicator stack
14/56
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 49.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -6.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6912-week average 0.50
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.0% over four weeks, 8.7% over 12 weeks, and 18.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.49Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-29.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-163.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
2 positive · 10 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-10.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Industrials
4-week rank74 / 100
Group average-0.9%
Trend breadth32.0%
Trend32.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Integrated Freight & Logistics
4-week rank2 / 5
Group average-7.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape36/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis48/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.69; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Analyst: UPS-Teamsters 2028 showdown will unleash parcel industry tsunami Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 33.33 BRL | 0.4% | 34.07 BRL | 38.09 BRL | 0.49 | -0.75 | 566 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 33.21 BRL | -8.7% | 34.14 BRL | 38.18 BRL | 0.68 | -4.28 | 4.4K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 36.36 BRL | -2.5% | 34.13 BRL | 38.28 BRL | 0.86 | 6.92 | 117.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 37.28 BRL | 5.2% | 34.05 BRL | 38.37 BRL | 0.76 | 9.30 | 1.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 35.44 BRL | 0.3% | 33.97 BRL | 38.45 BRL | 0.68 | 1.18 | 38 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 35.35 BRL | 0.0% | 33.89 BRL | 38.54 BRL | 0.67 | 2.53 | 28 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 35.34 BRL | 2.0% | 33.77 BRL | 38.62 BRL | 0.56 | 2.75 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 34.65 BRL | -1.1% | 33.63 BRL | 38.70 BRL | 0.31 | 3.19 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 35.03 BRL | 0.1% | 33.53 BRL | 38.76 BRL | -0.08 | 2.44 | 1 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 34.99 BRL | 3.5% | 33.36 BRL | 38.84 BRL | -0.51 | 3.22 | 12 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 33.81 BRL | 7.2% | 33.22 BRL | 38.92 BRL | -0.82 | -3.29 | 3.0K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 31.54 BRL | 2.9% | 33.14 BRL | 39.00 BRL | -0.84 | -11.43 | 2.2K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 30.65 BRL | 0.3% | 33.03 BRL | 39.10 BRL | -0.78 | -14.88 | 829 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 30.55 BRL | -8.3% | 32.95 BRL | 39.21 BRL | -0.70 | -18.86 | 5.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.