PEGA NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Pegasystems Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 32.74 USD
7.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.2%, after a 4.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 68d.

Setup score 29 out of 100
Latest Close 32.74 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 7.2% latest completed week
4W Return 4.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 7.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.8%. Indicator stack 23/54 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 46/100 conviction; expected move 12.0%. News sentiment 48/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 68d Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.2%, after a 4.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.05

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.8% over four weeks, -2.8% over 12 weeks, and -36.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.2%
4W4.8%
12W-2.8%
26W-18.3%
52W-36.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change84.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-39.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change13.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength17/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Value16/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum5/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
16.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
75.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
30.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
31.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
47.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
25.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
9.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

PEGA shows bearish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.42, expected move of 12.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction46/100
Expected move12.0%
Put/call volume2.42
Pressure-34
Speculation3
Volatility69
Trend agreement94
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

9 positive · 32 neutral · 15 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings68dNext report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-51.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-16.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+7.2%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape26/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis9/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 6; Small Cap Core rank 72 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options54/100

PEGA shows bearish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.42, expected move of 12.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 12.0% Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Quantinno Capital Management LP Raises Stock Position in Pegasystems Inc. $PEGA Insiders5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings68d

Next report is scheduled for 20 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202632.74 USD7.2%38.12 USD39.10 USD-0.17-39.137.7MOff
31 Jul 202630.55 USD13.9%38.96 USD39.05 USD-0.58-40.9919.6MOff
24 Jul 202626.82 USD-16.6%39.81 USD39.00 USD-0.88-48.6937.0MOff
17 Jul 202632.16 USD2.9%40.99 USD38.99 USD-0.90-40.4212.3MOff
10 Jul 202631.24 USD0.6%41.96 USD38.96 USD-1.10-45.179.4MOff
3 Jul 202631.05 USD1.0%42.90 USD38.94 USD-1.07-45.167.8MOff
26 Jun 202630.75 USD2.3%43.87 USD38.91 USD-1.00-45.9213.4MOff
19 Jun 202630.06 USD-8.2%44.67 USD38.87 USD-1.00-50.1512.4MOff
12 Jun 202632.73 USD-5.6%45.48 USD38.83 USD-1.02-44.979.7MOff
5 Jun 202634.68 USD-2.9%46.28 USD38.78 USD-0.94-41.028.5MOff
29 May 202635.70 USD4.0%47.09 USD38.71 USD-0.90-42.657.0MOff
22 May 202634.32 USD1.9%48.02 USD38.63 USD-0.85-43.868.2MOff
15 May 202633.68 USD-6.3%49.08 USD38.56 USD-0.68-44.8210.1MOff
8 May 202635.94 USD-0.6%49.74 USD38.48 USD-0.59-41.928.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context