- The trend backdrop is active with a 143-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
SIMON
MEX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Silicon Motion Technology Corporation · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
4,476 MXN
-2.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 42.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a -23.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
4,476 MXN
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-23.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
105.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 13.58% based on similar historical setup states.
- 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -23.3%.
Indicator stack
100/53
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 13.58%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
57/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 42.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a -23.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9012-week average 0.94
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -23.3% over four weeks, 105.5% over 12 weeks, and 235.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 143 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak143 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-67.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership83.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment57/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
5 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility35.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher7 of 263 weeks finished lower.
Best week+129.1%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-21.0%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-2.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains3
Flat weeks16
Modest losses1
Sharp losses2
Recent vol35.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol18.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split10/3Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew20.9% / -10.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Technology
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.3%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS61.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Semiconductors
4-week rank24 / 26
Group average-10.6%
Trend breadth80.8%
Trend80.8%active weekly trend signals
MD30.8%positive activity pressure
RS76.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape61/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis82/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.90; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 13.58%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 13.58% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment57/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Silicon Motion (SIMO) Stock Rallies on PCIe Gen6 SSD Controller Launch for AI Infrastructure Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4,476 MXN | -2.9% | 3,145 MXN | 1,630 MXN | 0.44 | 83.00 | 102 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,610 MXN | 0.0% | 3,061 MXN | 1,609 MXN | 0.73 | 92.95 | 0 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,610 MXN | 0.0% | 2,963 MXN | 1,588 MXN | 1.01 | 99.44 | 0 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,610 MXN | -21.0% | 2,864 MXN | 1,566 MXN | 1.25 | 103.89 | 800 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5,834 MXN | 0.0% | 2,766 MXN | 1,544 MXN | 1.37 | 165.39 | 0 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5,834 MXN | 7.5% | 2,627 MXN | 1,514 MXN | 1.40 | 173.62 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5,425 MXN | 14.8% | 2,488 MXN | 1,485 MXN | 1.46 | 164.29 | 8 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,726 MXN | 0.0% | 2,351 MXN | 1,458 MXN | 1.45 | 137.43 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,726 MXN | 3.5% | 2,238 MXN | 1,435 MXN | 1.06 | 144.18 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,566 MXN | -8.5% | 2,125 MXN | 1,413 MXN | 0.68 | 150.47 | 300 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,990 MXN | 129.1% | 2,017 MXN | 1,391 MXN | 0.27 | 173.05 | 301 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 2,178 MXN | 0.0% | 1,895 MXN | 1,367 MXN | -0.06 | 24.24 | 0 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 2,178 MXN | 0.0% | 1,867 MXN | 1,361 MXN | 0.04 | 25.89 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 2,178 MXN | 0.0% | 1,839 MXN | 1,355 MXN | 0.13 | 23.49 | 0 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.