- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
COFA
PAR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
COFACE SA · Financial Services · Insurance - Reinsurance
Latest close
16.10 EUR
1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 2.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
16.10 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.5%.
Indicator stack
66/85
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.32%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 2.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9112-week average 0.71
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.91Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.5% over four weeks, 5.5% over 12 weeks, and 8.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change62.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-37.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
4 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-1.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-5.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorFR Financial Services
4-week rank20 / 50
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD52.0%positive activity pressure
RS42.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryFR Insurance - Reinsurance
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average5.4%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape68/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis81/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 9/12.
Activity pressure 0.91; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.32%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.32% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
Coface Discloses Updated Share Capital and Voting Rights Structure Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 16.10 EUR | 1.7% | 14.78 EUR | 12.84 EUR | 1.66 | 3.03 | 976.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 15.83 EUR | -1.7% | 14.73 EUR | 12.80 EUR | 1.65 | 3.67 | 970.5K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 16.10 EUR | -0.2% | 14.68 EUR | 12.77 EUR | 1.49 | 7.08 | 898.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 16.13 EUR | 2.7% | 14.63 EUR | 12.73 EUR | 1.27 | 7.73 | 978.5K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 15.70 EUR | 2.6% | 14.57 EUR | 12.70 EUR | 1.02 | 4.81 | 946.6K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 15.30 EUR | 1.5% | 14.51 EUR | 12.66 EUR | 0.77 | 0.06 | 120.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 15.08 EUR | -0.9% | 14.46 EUR | 12.62 EUR | 0.58 | -0.10 | 123.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 15.21 EUR | 1.1% | 14.42 EUR | 12.59 EUR | 0.72 | 0.15 | 339.3K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 15.04 EUR | 3.4% | 14.37 EUR | 12.56 EUR | 0.79 | -0.28 | 192.6K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 14.55 EUR | -2.7% | 14.33 EUR | 12.52 EUR | 0.90 | -2.14 | 213.4K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 14.95 EUR | -1.6% | 14.29 EUR | 12.49 EUR | 1.00 | 0.78 | 2.1M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 15.19 EUR | -0.5% | 14.27 EUR | 12.47 EUR | 0.73 | 3.08 | 1.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.26 EUR | 3.3% | 14.23 EUR | 12.43 EUR | 0.53 | 5.66 | 1.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 14.77 EUR | 1.5% | 14.20 EUR | 12.40 EUR | 0.35 | 0.31 | 1.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.