- The trend backdrop is active with a 11-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
5426
TWO
Week ended 14 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Cheng Fwa Industrial Co., Ltd. · Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Latest close
28.00 TWD
6.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 46.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a 6.7% four-week move.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
28.00 TWD
14 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
45.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.38% based on similar historical setup states.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.7%.
Indicator stack
50/45
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.38%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 46.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.7%, after a 6.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6612-week average 0.38
12-week confirmation
Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.7% over four weeks, 45.8% over 12 weeks, and 9.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 11 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak11 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-89.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility18.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
20 Mar
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
14 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+60.6%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-14.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+6.7%Week of 14 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol18.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.3% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth55.0%
Trend55.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Metal Fabrication
4-week rank8 / 30
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD36.7%positive activity pressure
RS3.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis64/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 11/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.66; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.38%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.38% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 28.00 TWD | 6.7% | 23.09 TWD | 25.75 TWD | 0.11 | -10.06 | 12.4M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.25 TWD | 10.5% | 22.80 TWD | 25.66 TWD | 0.17 | -13.77 | 3.1M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 23.75 TWD | -8.8% | 22.59 TWD | 25.59 TWD | 0.38 | -20.93 | 4.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26.05 TWD | -0.8% | 22.46 TWD | 25.53 TWD | 0.71 | -15.53 | 5.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 26.25 TWD | -12.4% | 22.25 TWD | 25.47 TWD | 1.01 | -13.90 | 4.0M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 29.95 TWD | -5.7% | 22.04 TWD | 25.41 TWD | 1.28 | -8.60 | 5.5M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 31.75 TWD | -2.5% | 21.71 TWD | 25.31 TWD | 1.51 | -7.25 | 14.0M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 32.55 TWD | -14.1% | 21.33 TWD | 25.21 TWD | 1.63 | -1.51 | 16.5M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 37.90 TWD | 17.0% | 20.90 TWD | 25.10 TWD | 1.24 | 8.64 | 8.5M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 32.40 TWD | 8.2% | 20.31 TWD | 24.94 TWD | 0.87 | -2.75 | 42.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 29.95 TWD | 60.6% | 19.91 TWD | 24.81 TWD | 0.27 | -12.60 | 14.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 18.65 TWD | -2.9% | 19.62 TWD | 24.69 TWD | -0.43 | -45.73 | 2.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 19.20 TWD | 7.9% | 19.74 TWD | 24.64 TWD | -0.67 | -41.86 | 1.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 17.80 TWD | 0.3% | 19.84 TWD | 24.59 TWD | -0.72 | -45.56 | 2.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.