- The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
SGM
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Sims Limited · Basic Materials · Steel
Latest close
26.77 AUD
4.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 5.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
68
out of 100
Latest Close
26.77 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
19.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
71.2%
37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.1%.
Indicator stack
84/47
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.89%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 79.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.6%, after a 5.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8912-week average 0.87
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.1% over four weeks, 19.1% over 12 weeks, and 84.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-76.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership29.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-15.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 39%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality8/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth16/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 16.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 28.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -0.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 1.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -0.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
2 positive · 13 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+4.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank64 / 100
Group average7.2%
Trend breadth21.0%
Trend21.0%active weekly trend signals
MD27.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Steel
4-week rank6 / 14
Group average2.5%
Trend breadth21.4%
Trend21.4%active weekly trend signals
MD57.1%positive activity pressure
RS35.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape68/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.89; 4 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.89%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.89% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 62 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
Why Is Sims (ASX:SGM) Share Price Rising Today? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.77 AUD | 4.6% | 22.81 AUD | 15.15 AUD | 0.17 | 29.08 | 2.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 25.59 AUD | -1.8% | 22.54 AUD | 15.07 AUD | 0.29 | 28.71 | 3.1M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26.07 AUD | 5.5% | 22.29 AUD | 14.99 AUD | 0.33 | 35.50 | 2.9M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 24.70 AUD | -3.0% | 22.01 AUD | 14.92 AUD | 0.46 | 29.32 | 2.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 25.47 AUD | 0.6% | 21.79 AUD | 14.85 AUD | 0.74 | 34.33 | 3.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 25.32 AUD | -10.2% | 21.54 AUD | 14.79 AUD | 0.91 | 34.13 | 698.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 28.21 AUD | -3.4% | 21.29 AUD | 14.72 AUD | 1.22 | 52.21 | 773.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 29.20 AUD | 0.3% | 20.92 AUD | 14.63 AUD | 1.21 | 58.50 | 1.7M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 29.12 AUD | 5.9% | 20.44 AUD | 14.54 AUD | 0.95 | 60.80 | 915.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 27.50 AUD | 2.5% | 19.99 AUD | 14.45 AUD | 0.68 | 57.27 | 5.4M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 26.82 AUD | 15.5% | 19.60 AUD | 14.36 AUD | 0.27 | 53.53 | 1.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 23.23 AUD | 3.3% | 19.24 AUD | 14.28 AUD | -0.04 | 35.83 | 2.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 22.48 AUD | 3.8% | 18.95 AUD | 14.22 AUD | -0.24 | 33.02 | 4.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 21.65 AUD | 1.6% | 18.66 AUD | 14.16 AUD | -0.50 | 27.38 | 4.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.