NESTE HEL Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Neste Oyj · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Latest close 28.14 EUR
-7.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.9%, after a -5.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 28.14 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -7.9% latest completed week
4W Return -5.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 6 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.9%, after a -5.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7912-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers66 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 6 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.2% over four weeks, -1.5% over 12 weeks, and 92.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 55 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.9%
4W-5.2%
12W-1.5%
26W34.1%
52W92.3%
Active trend streak55 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change150.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership17.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-42.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

7 positive · 16 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-7.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorFI Energy
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-5.2%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

IndustryFI Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-5.2%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202628.14 EUR-7.9%26.30 EUR19.84 EUR0.3817.505.4MOn
31 Jul 202630.56 EUR-2.8%26.02 EUR19.85 EUR0.5428.976.2MOn
24 Jul 202631.43 EUR-2.6%25.66 EUR19.84 EUR0.2534.479.8MOn
17 Jul 202632.27 EUR8.7%25.24 EUR19.83 EUR-0.2840.175.9MOn
10 Jul 202629.68 EUR5.1%24.77 EUR19.83 EUR-0.7630.616.2MOn
3 Jul 202628.25 EUR3.9%24.39 EUR19.85 EUR-0.9423.90659.7KOn
26 Jun 202627.18 EUR3.2%24.06 EUR19.87 EUR-0.7922.91927.3KOn
19 Jun 202626.33 EUR-5.0%23.70 EUR19.90 EUR-0.5818.563.1MOn
12 Jun 202627.71 EUR-3.7%23.38 EUR19.93 EUR-0.2924.011.0MOn
5 Jun 202628.78 EUR2.3%23.06 EUR19.98 EUR-0.0827.69449.7KOn
29 May 202628.13 EUR-0.9%22.68 EUR20.02 EUR0.0626.584.4MOn
22 May 202628.39 EUR-0.6%22.34 EUR20.05 EUR0.3429.025.8MOn
15 May 202628.56 EUR4.4%22.00 EUR20.08 EUR0.3936.234.2MOn
8 May 202627.35 EUR-6.9%21.59 EUR20.11 EUR0.3033.089.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context