- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
MBG
VIE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Mercedes-Benz Group AG · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
46.74 EUR
-0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 6.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 73/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
46.74 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.2%.
Indicator stack
28/46
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
73/100
2 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a 6.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.3x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.16
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.2% over four weeks, -7.0% over 12 weeks, and -4.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change45.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.80Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment73/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
2 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank37 / 100
Group average2.3%
Trend breadth45.0%
Trend45.0%active weekly trend signals
MD62.0%positive activity pressure
RS11.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAT Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank10 / 18
Group average6.3%
Trend breadth44.4%
Trend44.4%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment73/100Weighted news tone is positive across 2 relevant articles.
Mercedes-Benz Group AG Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to €60.04, Implies 28% Upside Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 46.74 EUR | -0.3% | 49.74 EUR | 50.83 EUR | -0.44 | -25.80 | 1.3K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 46.89 EUR | 5.2% | 50.07 EUR | 50.88 EUR | -0.51 | -23.84 | 17.2K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 44.56 EUR | -2.4% | 50.43 EUR | 50.95 EUR | -0.77 | -28.05 | 8.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 45.67 EUR | 3.7% | 50.83 EUR | 51.02 EUR | -0.71 | -25.86 | 15.4K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 44.03 EUR | -2.4% | 51.17 EUR | 51.10 EUR | -0.81 | -30.34 | 11.2K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 45.10 EUR | 3.9% | 51.62 EUR | 51.18 EUR | -0.80 | -30.11 | 333 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 43.40 EUR | -3.6% | 52.04 EUR | 51.26 EUR | -0.75 | -31.59 | 1.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 44.99 EUR | -6.3% | 52.40 EUR | 51.36 EUR | -0.55 | -30.91 | 839 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 48.02 EUR | 0.2% | 52.68 EUR | 51.44 EUR | -0.45 | -23.63 | 553 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 47.92 EUR | -8.2% | 52.93 EUR | 51.52 EUR | -0.53 | -22.08 | 3 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 52.21 EUR | 4.2% | 53.15 EUR | 51.58 EUR | -0.47 | -16.46 | 806 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 50.11 EUR | -0.3% | 53.16 EUR | 51.62 EUR | -0.59 | -18.01 | 2.2K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 50.24 EUR | 0.4% | 53.13 EUR | 51.66 EUR | -0.75 | -16.45 | 244 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 50.04 EUR | 1.0% | 53.12 EUR | 51.70 EUR | -0.71 | -17.51 | 4.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.