- The trend backdrop is active with a 29-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
NHC
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
New Hope Corporation Limited · Energy · Thermal Coal
Latest close
5.21 AUD
0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
5.21 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.0%.
Indicator stack
93/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -0.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -1.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7012-week average 0.81
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.70Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.0% over four weeks, -0.4% over 12 weeks, and 21.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 29 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak29 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-3.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-63.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Jul 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 47%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 10.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 4.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 56.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 21.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 14.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -0.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -7.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -10.4% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
3 positive · 8 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Energy
4-week rank56 / 100
Group average-2.9%
Trend breadth15.0%
Trend15.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Thermal Coal
4-week rank5 / 7
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD28.6%positive activity pressure
RS42.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis63/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.70; 2 reversal markers Factors93/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 9 SVQF63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 96.0 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
New Hope (ASX:NHC) Faces Minor Share Price Pressure While Long-Term Performance Remains Positive Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 5.21 AUD | 0.4% | 5.22 AUD | 4.35 AUD | -0.80 | 5.00 | 15.6M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 5.19 AUD | -7.2% | 5.18 AUD | 4.34 AUD | -0.78 | 8.23 | 9.4M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 5.59 AUD | 6.9% | 5.14 AUD | 4.34 AUD | -0.77 | 19.81 | 9.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 5.23 AUD | -0.6% | 5.09 AUD | 4.33 AUD | -0.88 | 12.46 | 9.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.26 AUD | -2.0% | 5.04 AUD | 4.32 AUD | -0.77 | 13.62 | 15.6M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5.37 AUD | -0.2% | 5.00 AUD | 4.31 AUD | -0.56 | 16.12 | 1.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5.38 AUD | -2.0% | 4.95 AUD | 4.30 AUD | -0.23 | 18.15 | 1.9M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 5.49 AUD | -9.1% | 4.90 AUD | 4.29 AUD | -0.02 | 20.58 | 6.1M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.04 AUD | -0.7% | 4.84 AUD | 4.28 AUD | 0.08 | 33.93 | 2.0M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.08 AUD | 4.1% | 4.78 AUD | 4.28 AUD | -0.04 | 38.96 | 15.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.84 AUD | 6.2% | 4.72 AUD | 4.26 AUD | -0.22 | 33.29 | 2.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.50 AUD | 5.2% | 4.66 AUD | 4.25 AUD | -0.09 | 27.84 | 12.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.23 AUD | 4.0% | 4.61 AUD | 4.24 AUD | 0.11 | 22.95 | 9.2M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.03 AUD | -9.0% | 4.56 AUD | 4.23 AUD | 0.40 | 17.44 | 11.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.