- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.76% based on similar historical setup states.
NVD
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
NVIDIA Corporation · Technology · Semiconductors
Latest close
194.2 EUR
14.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.0%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
194.2 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
14.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 14 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
14.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%.
Indicator stack
93/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.76%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
66/100
28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.0%, after a 6.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7512-week average 0.82
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.75Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1414 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 14 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, -1.0% over 12 weeks, and 24.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-5334.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.64Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 92%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength29/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Value4/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum69/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 29.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 18.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 24.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 74.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 64.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 47.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 62.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 65.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 65.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 58.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment66/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 28 relevant articles.
19 positive · 4 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+14.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Technology
4-week rank36 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Semiconductors
4-week rank1 / 12
Group average-10.7%
Trend breadth83.3%
Trend83.3%active weekly trend signals
MD16.7%positive activity pressure
RS91.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape61/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis67/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.75; 14 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.76%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.76% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors47/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 28 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment66/100Weighted news tone is positive across 28 relevant articles.
Nvidia’s AI push has echoes of Enron, says Big Short investor Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 194.2 EUR | 14.0% | 169.9 EUR | 118.4 EUR | -0.29 | 9.64 | 504.1K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 170.4 EUR | -7.3% | 168.7 EUR | 117.4 EUR | -0.25 | -0.95 | 533.5K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 183.9 EUR | 3.0% | 168.4 EUR | 116.5 EUR | -0.12 | 9.22 | 320.7K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 178.5 EUR | -2.2% | 167.6 EUR | 115.6 EUR | -0.11 | 7.53 | 584.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 182.5 EUR | 6.4% | 166.7 EUR | 114.7 EUR | -0.01 | 9.23 | 564.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 171.5 EUR | 0.9% | 165.6 EUR | 113.8 EUR | -0.03 | 0.24 | 55.9K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 170.0 EUR | -6.5% | 165.1 EUR | 113.0 EUR | 0.17 | 4.12 | 113.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 181.8 EUR | 1.8% | 164.5 EUR | 112.1 EUR | 0.44 | 10.38 | 59.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 178.5 EUR | -1.2% | 163.7 EUR | 111.2 EUR | 0.78 | 10.54 | 117.1K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 180.7 EUR | -1.9% | 163.2 EUR | 110.3 EUR | 1.20 | 11.96 | 176.0K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 184.2 EUR | -1.9% | 162.4 EUR | 109.4 EUR | 1.48 | 13.31 | 542.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 187.8 EUR | -4.3% | 162.1 EUR | 108.5 EUR | 1.52 | 17.35 | 954.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 196.1 EUR | 6.6% | 161.2 EUR | 107.5 EUR | 1.43 | 28.39 | 1.0M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 184.1 EUR | 7.6% | 159.8 EUR | 106.4 EUR | 1.05 | 19.69 | 816.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.