CEWATER NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

CONCORD ENVIRO SYSTEMS L · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water

Latest close 276.0 INR
-4.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a -21.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 18 out of 100
Latest Close 276.0 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -4.1% latest completed week
4W Return -21.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 1.9% 1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.17% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.1%, after a -21.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1812-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -21.7% over four weeks, -4.7% over 12 weeks, and -49.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.1%
4W-21.7%
12W-4.7%
26W-31.5%
52W-49.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-50.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-147.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value61/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework7/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
39.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-6.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-7.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-61.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

5 positive · 19 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-52.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+35.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-12.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-4.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses13
Recent vol11.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.4% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryIN Utilities - Regulated Water
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-21.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026276.0 INR-4.1%317.2 INR461.1 INR0.35-27.27329.1KOff
31 Jul 2026287.8 INR-3.5%322.6 INR463.3 INR0.54-24.59314.5KOff
24 Jul 2026298.4 INR-3.5%328.7 INR465.4 INR0.66-21.01357.8KOff
17 Jul 2026309.2 INR-12.3%333.8 INR467.5 INR0.71-21.27991.2KOff
10 Jul 2026352.6 INR7.1%338.0 INR469.4 INR0.71-11.022.4MOff
3 Jul 2026329.2 INR-7.3%340.2 INR470.9 INR0.52-18.01159.6KOff
26 Jun 2026355.4 INR1.4%341.9 INR472.7 INR0.37-11.610Off
19 Jun 2026350.5 INR35.2%343.8 INR474.2 INR0.31-13.46355.4KOff
12 Jun 2026259.2 INR2.4%345.9 INR475.8 INR0.14-35.5039.9KOff
5 Jun 2026253.1 INR-10.5%351.4 INR478.7 INR0.10-37.1756.5KOff
29 May 2026283.0 INR3.6%358.3 INR481.7 INR0.08-31.25212.8KOff
22 May 2026273.1 INR-5.7%365.0 INR484.3 INR0.02-34.98197.8KOff
15 May 2026289.7 INR-7.5%372.1 INR487.2 INR0.03-31.87208.0KOff
8 May 2026313.1 INR1.5%378.9 INR490.0 INR0.01-28.83251.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context