AVADHSUGAR NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners

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Latest close 601.0 INR
19.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 35.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.3%, after a 16.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 75 out of 100
Latest Close 601.0 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 19.3% latest completed week
4W Return 16.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 26.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 11.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 17-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • No major top-level risk cluster is currently dominant.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 19.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 16.6%. Indicator stack 63/78 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 53/100 31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 35.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.3%, after a 16.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 11.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6112-week average 0.59

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 16.6% over four weeks, 26.1% over 12 weeks, and 38.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 17 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W19.3%
4W16.6%
12W26.1%
26W75.4%
52W38.0%
Active trend streak17 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change242.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership40.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value92/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum84/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Growth9/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework52/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
21.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
2.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-34.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
3.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

6 positive · 23 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-6.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+19.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape71/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis76/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.61; No reversal markers Factors72/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 24; Small Cap Core rank 7 SVQF52/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 757.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

Ather Energy Ltd (NSE:ATHERENERG) (Q1 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: First-Ever Positive ... Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026601.0 INR19.3%443.9 INR524.6 INR0.4840.706.0MOn
31 Jul 2026504.0 INR-4.1%435.6 INR524.1 INR0.1919.76106.6KOn
24 Jul 2026525.3 INR-1.6%431.2 INR524.4 INR0.1528.34104.6KOn
17 Jul 2026533.9 INR3.6%426.0 INR524.6 INR-0.1127.87130.7KOn
10 Jul 2026515.6 INR2.6%420.6 INR524.7 INR-0.3424.46184.9KOn
3 Jul 2026502.3 INR14.8%416.1 INR524.8 INR-0.4721.1673.5KOn
26 Jun 2026437.5 INR-0.6%411.3 INR524.9 INR-0.436.650On
19 Jun 2026440.0 INR-0.8%409.4 INR525.3 INR-0.197.349.8KOn
12 Jun 2026443.7 INR-3.2%407.4 INR525.7 INR0.119.928.1KOn
5 Jun 2026458.5 INR2.5%405.3 INR525.9 INR0.4114.5524.7KOn
29 May 2026447.4 INR-4.9%403.7 INR526.1 INR0.7110.6751.0KOn
22 May 2026470.3 INR-1.3%403.2 INR526.2 INR0.9415.2248.6KOn
15 May 2026476.5 INR-6.4%401.7 INR526.1 INR1.0916.79157.1KOn
8 May 2026509.3 INR3.7%399.7 INR526.0 INR1.1921.80217.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context