- The trend backdrop is active with a 19-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BALRAMCHIN
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Balrampur Chini Mills Limited · Consumer Defensive · Confectioners
Latest close
633.5 INR
8.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 11.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
79
out of 100
Latest Close
633.5 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
8.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
17.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.5x
vs 13-week average
- 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.7%.
Indicator stack
69/88
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 23.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.1%, after a 11.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8312-week average 0.83
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.83Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.7% over four weeks, 17.4% over 12 weeks, and 17.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 19 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak19 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change87.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change62.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength23/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth33/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 35.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 20.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -2.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 26.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 9.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -5.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 15.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -13.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.
2 positive · 25 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-3.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+8.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses0
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Defensive
4-week rank8 / 100
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD51.0%positive activity pressure
RS44.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Confectioners
4-week rank5 / 25
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth56.0%
Trend56.0%active weekly trend signals
MD32.0%positive activity pressure
RS44.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape76/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.83; 4 reversal markers Factors34/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 64; Small Cap Core rank 58 SVQF26/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 1160.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.
Balrampur Chini Mills Ltd Share Price Target, Forecast for Long Term Equity. Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 633.5 INR | 8.1% | 511.4 INR | 482.4 INR | 1.70 | 28.34 | 6.3M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 586.2 INR | -3.9% | 504.6 INR | 480.8 INR | 1.57 | 20.09 | 1.2M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 610.2 INR | 0.9% | 499.7 INR | 479.6 INR | 1.55 | 28.40 | 4.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 604.5 INR | 6.6% | 494.0 INR | 478.2 INR | 1.22 | 24.49 | 5.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 566.9 INR | 0.8% | 488.4 INR | 476.8 INR | 0.91 | 17.40 | 2.0M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 562.5 INR | 5.3% | 484.1 INR | 475.5 INR | 0.89 | 16.07 | 317.5K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 534.2 INR | 0.5% | 480.2 INR | 474.3 INR | 0.92 | 11.25 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 531.6 INR | -1.5% | 477.3 INR | 473.3 INR | 1.02 | 10.83 | 653.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 540.0 INR | 1.5% | 474.6 INR | 472.4 INR | 1.22 | 14.28 | 383.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 531.8 INR | 3.3% | 472.0 INR | 471.4 INR | 1.40 | 13.61 | 540.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 514.8 INR | -3.8% | 468.6 INR | 470.5 INR | 1.56 | 8.98 | 1.7M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 535.1 INR | -0.8% | 466.6 INR | 469.7 INR | 1.81 | 12.26 | 3.7M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 539.6 INR | 3.2% | 464.1 INR | 468.7 INR | 1.89 | 13.62 | 5.9M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 522.8 INR | 0.3% | 461.5 INR | 467.7 INR | 1.65 | 7.71 | 3.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.