KOV ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Korvest Ltd · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Latest close 19.24 AUD
3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 7.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 19.24 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.8% latest completed week
4W Return 7.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 65-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 7.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8912-week average 0.90

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.7% over four weeks, 16.2% over 12 weeks, and 45.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 65 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.8%
4W7.7%
12W16.2%
26W24.1%
52W45.6%
Active trend streak65 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.02Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-102.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.77Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 43%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength96/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
17.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
19.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
16.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
18.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
157.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.

3 positive · 11 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.3%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-9.8%Week of 12 Jun.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAU Metal Fabrication
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-8.7%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202619.24 AUD3.8%16.57 AUD10.82 AUD-0.0220.7762.5KOn
31 Jul 202618.54 AUD7.0%16.39 AUD10.74 AUD0.0820.87112.8KOn
24 Jul 202617.33 AUD2.9%16.23 AUD10.67 AUD0.1316.4472.0KOn
17 Jul 202616.84 AUD-5.8%16.11 AUD10.60 AUD0.4213.6892.3KOn
10 Jul 202617.87 AUD-1.3%16.01 AUD10.53 AUD0.7921.44114.7KOn
3 Jul 202618.10 AUD-8.5%15.87 AUD10.46 AUD0.8723.5929.3KOn
26 Jun 202619.79 AUD-1.7%15.73 AUD10.39 AUD1.1737.678.9KOn
19 Jun 202620.13 AUD9.4%15.52 AUD10.30 AUD1.2240.7436.3KOn
12 Jun 202618.40 AUD-9.8%15.28 AUD10.21 AUD0.9930.7222.2KOn
5 Jun 202620.40 AUD8.1%15.11 AUD10.13 AUD0.8749.58105.8KOn
29 May 202618.87 AUD12.3%14.86 AUD10.04 AUD0.3438.6621.4KOn
22 May 202616.81 AUD1.5%14.66 AUD9.96 AUD-0.0826.0763.4KOn
15 May 202616.56 AUD4.7%14.53 AUD9.89 AUD-0.2825.80117.2KOn
8 May 202615.82 AUD1.5%14.41 AUD9.82 AUD-0.3419.747.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context