SCR TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Strathcona Resources Ltd. · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 38.66 CAD
-9.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.1%, after a -0.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 38.66 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -9.1% latest completed week
4W Return -0.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -19.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -9.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.1%. Indicator stack 94/48 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 54/100 22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 52.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.1%, after a -0.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.1% over four weeks, -19.8% over 12 weeks, and 56.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-9.1%
4W-0.1%
12W-19.8%
26W40.2%
52W56.4%
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change54.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.43Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-68.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality65/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth33/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework74/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
1.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
24.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
22.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
50.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-80.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
29.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
15.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
44.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

3 positive · 19 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.2%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-9.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape57/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 57/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis68/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.59; 2 reversal markers Factors80/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 2; Small Cap Core rank 9 SVQF74/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 80.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

Strathcona Resources Shares Gain Attention Amid Strong Trading Activity Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202638.66 CAD-9.1%37.88 CAD24.92 CAD-0.382.432.0MOn
31 Jul 202642.52 CAD1.3%37.47 CAD24.84 CAD-0.3416.722.8MOn
24 Jul 202641.96 CAD6.2%37.00 CAD24.73 CAD-0.6115.402.2MOn
17 Jul 202639.50 CAD2.0%36.57 CAD24.63 CAD-0.819.582.5MOn
10 Jul 202638.71 CAD3.7%36.23 CAD24.54 CAD-0.837.762.4MOn
3 Jul 202637.33 CAD-3.0%35.97 CAD24.44 CAD-0.624.51218.5KOn
26 Jun 202638.47 CAD-6.2%35.80 CAD24.35 CAD-0.159.05285.3KOn
19 Jun 202641.01 CAD-7.9%35.54 CAD24.25 CAD0.2316.89358.3KOn
12 Jun 202644.52 CAD-6.0%35.21 CAD24.13 CAD0.6627.79501.7KOn
5 Jun 202647.37 CAD7.9%34.73 CAD24.00 CAD0.8939.14853.3KOn
29 May 202643.91 CAD-6.7%34.09 CAD23.86 CAD0.8529.101.9MOn
22 May 202647.07 CAD-2.3%33.53 CAD23.74 CAD0.9940.872.4MOn
15 May 202648.18 CAD15.7%32.83 CAD23.59 CAD0.9248.582.1MOn
8 May 202641.64 CAD-6.2%32.10 CAD23.45 CAD0.8928.981.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context