- The trend backdrop is active with a 51-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.72% based on similar historical setup states.
4971
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MEC Company Ltd. · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
8,850 JPY
3.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a -4.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
55
out of 100
Latest Close
8,850 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-15.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
98.1%
51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.2%.
Indicator stack
99/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.72%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a -4.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6512-week average 0.90
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.65Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.2% over four weeks, -15.0% over 12 weeks, and 222.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 51 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak51 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-439.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership16.32Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-24.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.1%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-11.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+3.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split36/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Basic Materials
4-week rank82 / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank83 / 100
Group average4.2%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis74/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.65; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.72%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.72% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 8,850 JPY | 3.9% | 8,326 JPY | 4,499 JPY | -0.90 | 16.32 | 1.7M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8,520 JPY | 0.7% | 8,197 JPY | 4,466 JPY | -0.82 | 15.48 | 1.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8,460 JPY | 3.3% | 8,083 JPY | 4,433 JPY | -0.63 | 15.47 | 1.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 8,190 JPY | -11.4% | 7,978 JPY | 4,401 JPY | -0.30 | 13.88 | 1.4M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 9,240 JPY | -10.8% | 7,878 JPY | 4,370 JPY | 0.26 | 21.49 | 1.7M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 10,360 JPY | 0.0% | 7,746 JPY | 4,333 JPY | 0.49 | 35.48 | 381.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 10,355 JPY | -8.2% | 7,575 JPY | 4,289 JPY | 0.75 | 38.12 | 277.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 11,280 JPY | 11.8% | 7,398 JPY | 4,245 JPY | 1.13 | 48.66 | 327.2K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10,086 JPY | -2.9% | 7,179 JPY | 4,192 JPY | 1.33 | 45.94 | 317.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10,385 JPY | -2.8% | 7,010 JPY | 4,148 JPY | 1.77 | 51.39 | 230.5K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 10,683 JPY | 0.1% | 6,818 JPY | 4,102 JPY | 1.96 | 59.01 | 1.6M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 10,673 JPY | 2.5% | 6,612 JPY | 4,053 JPY | 1.87 | 69.39 | 2.2M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 10,415 JPY | 1.1% | 6,391 JPY | 4,005 JPY | 1.83 | 74.02 | 2.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 10,305 JPY | 16.1% | 6,175 JPY | 3,956 JPY | 1.68 | 72.24 | 877.3K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.