4092 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nippon Chemical Industrial Co., Ltd. · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Latest close 5,600 JPY
-5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 42.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a 32.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 69 out of 100
Latest Close 5,600 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return 32.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 49.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 51-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 42.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a 32.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9212-week average 0.84

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 32.7% over four weeks, 49.9% over 12 weeks, and 126.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 51 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.6%
4W32.7%
12W49.9%
26W70.6%
52W126.0%
Active trend streak51 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.90Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change22.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership39.59Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change744.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.

2 positive · 9 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.7%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-5.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses9
Recent vol11.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20265,600 JPY-5.6%3,929 JPY2,548 JPY0.9039.591.4MOn
31 Jul 20265,930 JPY14.5%3,843 JPY2,523 JPY0.7351.921.6MOn
24 Jul 20265,180 JPY10.2%3,736 JPY2,496 JPY0.5133.961.7MOn
17 Jul 20264,700 JPY11.4%3,654 JPY2,474 JPY0.5523.651.9MOn
10 Jul 20264,220 JPY-5.1%3,585 JPY2,454 JPY0.744.691.0MOn
3 Jul 20264,445 JPY-8.8%3,529 JPY2,438 JPY0.968.83224.0KOn
26 Jun 20264,875 JPY-12.2%3,465 JPY2,421 JPY1.2320.60260.4KOn
19 Jun 20265,550 JPY20.4%3,388 JPY2,400 JPY1.4234.62198.6KOn
12 Jun 20264,610 JPY-10.7%3,285 JPY2,375 JPY1.3121.79543.8KOn
5 Jun 20265,160 JPY6.0%3,215 JPY2,357 JPY1.2236.04514.4KOn
29 May 20264,870 JPY24.7%3,138 JPY2,334 JPY0.9530.094.1MOn
22 May 20263,905 JPY4.6%3,067 JPY2,313 JPY0.5110.10797.6KOn
15 May 20263,735 JPY-0.9%3,032 JPY2,298 JPY0.249.061.2MOn
8 May 20263,770 JPY10.2%3,001 JPY2,285 JPY0.238.20460.2KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context