- The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
NMR
BUE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Nomura Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services · Capital Markets
Latest close
15,760 ARS
3.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 6.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
75
out of 100
Latest Close
15,760 ARS
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
32.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
67.3%
35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.6%.
Indicator stack
51/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.35%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
66/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a 6.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8112-week average 0.52
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.81Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers77 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.6% over four weeks, 32.3% over 12 weeks, and 71.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change22.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1159.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment66/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 3 relevant articles.
2 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.4%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-13.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split34/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAR Financial Services
4-week rank11 / 44
Group average1.8%
Trend breadth68.2%
Trend68.2%active weekly trend signals
MD86.4%positive activity pressure
RS45.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAR Capital Markets
4-week rank1 / 4
Group average-1.5%
Trend breadth75.0%
Trend75.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape71/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 71/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.81; 7 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.35%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.35% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment66/100Weighted news tone is positive across 3 relevant articles.
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Recurring Revenue and Strong ... Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 15,760 ARS | 3.8% | 13,073 ARS | 8,354 ARS | 1.18 | 12.79 | 92 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 15,180 ARS | -3.3% | 13,013 ARS | 8,268 ARS | 1.15 | 2.37 | 108 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 15,690 ARS | 5.4% | 12,943 ARS | 8,185 ARS | 1.14 | 6.34 | 62 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 14,880 ARS | 0.6% | 12,850 ARS | 8,099 ARS | 1.04 | 3.85 | 75 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 14,790 ARS | 3.4% | 12,777 ARS | 8,017 ARS | 0.97 | 1.02 | 69 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 14,300 ARS | 5.0% | 12,700 ARS | 7,935 ARS | 0.81 | 0.42 | 37 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 13,620 ARS | -0.1% | 12,616 ARS | 7,855 ARS | 0.60 | -1.87 | 6 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 13,630 ARS | 5.1% | 12,549 ARS | 7,781 ARS | 0.27 | -6.62 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 12,970 ARS | 0.2% | 12,444 ARS | 7,706 ARS | -0.11 | -12.54 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 12,940 ARS | 7.1% | 12,370 ARS | 7,635 ARS | -0.42 | -4.99 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 12,080 ARS | 0.4% | 12,285 ARS | 7,564 ARS | -0.67 | -13.32 | 46 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 12,030 ARS | 1.0% | 12,239 ARS | 7,499 ARS | -0.74 | -3.71 | 49 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 11,910 ARS | 1.0% | 12,200 ARS | 7,433 ARS | -0.80 | 0.77 | 57 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 11,790 ARS | -2.4% | 12,161 ARS | 7,368 ARS | -0.81 | -1.83 | 213 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.