CHEF STO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Cheffelo AB (publ) · Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

Latest close 123.0 SEK
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a -6.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 66/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 123.0 SEK 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return -6.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 81-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 17 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a -6.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.95

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1717 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 17 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.4% over four weeks, 3.0% over 12 weeks, and 154.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 81 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W-6.4%
12W3.0%
26W19.8%
52W154.8%
Active trend streak81 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-93.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership22.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-49.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment66/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.

1 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.7%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-15.2%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustrySE Food Distribution
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-6.4%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026123.0 SEK1.3%107.2 SEK47.83 SEK0.0722.15112.6KOn
31 Jul 2026121.4 SEK-3.0%105.7 SEK47.33 SEK0.4524.4688.3KOn
24 Jul 2026125.2 SEK-4.1%104.2 SEK46.82 SEK0.7231.8190.6KOn
17 Jul 2026130.6 SEK-0.6%102.6 SEK46.29 SEK0.9041.6785.5KOn
10 Jul 2026131.4 SEK6.7%100.7 SEK45.71 SEK0.9643.40205.1KOn
3 Jul 2026123.2 SEK-0.3%98.83 SEK45.12 SEK0.9333.7416.4KOn
26 Jun 2026123.6 SEK-1.4%97.27 SEK44.58 SEK0.9939.8726.5KOn
19 Jun 2026125.4 SEK-1.1%95.73 SEK44.03 SEK1.0942.76127.5KOn
12 Jun 2026126.8 SEK4.1%94.13 SEK43.46 SEK1.2549.4452.4KOn
5 Jun 2026121.8 SEK0.8%92.56 SEK42.86 SEK1.2245.6445.2KOn
29 May 2026120.8 SEK0.5%91.15 SEK42.30 SEK1.2945.39231.0KOn
22 May 2026120.2 SEK0.7%89.76 SEK41.74 SEK0.8346.26558.5KOn
15 May 2026119.4 SEK2.8%88.36 SEK41.17 SEK0.3952.66232.8KOn
8 May 2026116.2 SEK19.7%86.86 SEK40.60 SEK0.1949.08826.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context