- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
NHF
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
nib holdings limited · Financial Services · Insurance - Specialty
Latest close
7.52 AUD
0.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive trend
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 4.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
63
out of 100
Latest Close
7.52 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
46.2%
24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.4x
vs 13-week average
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.3%.
Indicator stack
53/81
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.3%, after a 4.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.7912-week average 0.51
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.79Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.3% over four weeks, 13.6% over 12 weeks, and 2.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change22.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 39%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 18.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 3.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 7.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 7.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -46.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
0 positive · 17 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.1%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-3.6%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.8% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Financial Services
4-week rank31 / 100
Group average2.0%
Trend breadth43.0%
Trend43.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Insurance - Specialty
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-0.2%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape61/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis74/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.79; 1 reversal markers Factors87/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 9 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
NIB Holdings (ASX:NHF) Under Review: How Investors View Australia’s Changing Health Insurance Landscape Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 7.52 AUD | 0.3% | 6.69 AUD | 6.58 AUD | 1.61 | 3.99 | 4.1M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 7.50 AUD | 0.5% | 6.66 AUD | 6.57 AUD | 1.69 | 6.98 | 4.9M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 7.46 AUD | 2.1% | 6.64 AUD | 6.57 AUD | 1.58 | 8.93 | 4.7M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 7.31 AUD | 1.4% | 6.61 AUD | 6.57 AUD | 1.48 | 6.56 | 5.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7.21 AUD | 1.7% | 6.60 AUD | 6.57 AUD | 1.32 | 5.06 | 5.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 7.09 AUD | 1.3% | 6.58 AUD | 6.57 AUD | 1.14 | 2.91 | 660.0K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.00 AUD | 1.0% | 6.56 AUD | 6.58 AUD | 0.98 | 2.57 | 771.2K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.93 AUD | -0.9% | 6.57 AUD | 6.58 AUD | 0.82 | 0.97 | 1.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.99 AUD | 6.1% | 6.57 AUD | 6.58 AUD | 0.78 | 2.27 | 562.2K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.59 AUD | -1.3% | 6.58 AUD | 6.59 AUD | 0.68 | -1.44 | 3.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 6.68 AUD | -1.9% | 6.60 AUD | 6.59 AUD | 0.67 | -1.28 | 1.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 6.81 AUD | 2.9% | 6.62 AUD | 6.60 AUD | 0.75 | 1.52 | 2.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 6.62 AUD | -0.3% | 6.63 AUD | 6.60 AUD | 0.64 | -1.02 | 2.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 6.64 AUD | -2.1% | 6.65 AUD | 6.60 AUD | 0.75 | -2.07 | 3.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.