GLEN LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Glencore plc · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Latest close 557.0 GBP
2.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a 9.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 557.0 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.6% latest completed week
4W Return 9.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 10 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a 9.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5712-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active10/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.57Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1010 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 10 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.1% over four weeks, -3.0% over 12 weeks, and 85.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.6%
4W9.1%
12W-3.0%
26W11.6%
52W85.5%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change45.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change21.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 70%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value10/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality3/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework5/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
180.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
2.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-0.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-106.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

9 positive · 24 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-7.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+2.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026557.0 GBP2.6%534.0 GBP412.5 GBP-0.6914.19233.3MOn
31 Jul 2026543.0 GBP1.1%529.1 GBP411.9 GBP-0.8712.53238.8MOn
24 Jul 2026537.3 GBP4.0%524.1 GBP411.4 GBP-1.0913.46212.2MOff
17 Jul 2026516.7 GBP1.2%519.2 GBP411.0 GBP-1.2711.30207.5MOff
10 Jul 2026510.5 GBP-0.6%514.5 GBP410.7 GBP-1.2711.72149.8MOn
3 Jul 2026513.6 GBP-0.2%510.2 GBP410.2 GBP-1.0611.1914.8MOn
26 Jun 2026514.7 GBP-7.6%505.1 GBP409.8 GBP-0.7214.0335.4MOn
19 Jun 2026557.0 GBP-5.4%499.1 GBP409.2 GBP-0.3426.0485.9MOn
12 Jun 2026588.9 GBP-0.2%492.7 GBP408.7 GBP-0.1033.1340.4MOn
5 Jun 2026590.2 GBP3.9%485.0 GBP407.7 GBP0.1036.2238.5MOn
29 May 2026567.8 GBP-0.2%477.5 GBP406.7 GBP0.1332.03215.9MOn
22 May 2026569.1 GBP-0.9%470.1 GBP405.7 GBP0.1333.08121.9MOn
15 May 2026574.3 GBP2.0%462.6 GBP404.9 GBP0.1439.42315.0MOn
8 May 2026563.2 GBP0.0%455.0 GBP404.0 GBP0.1437.99191.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context