HDD LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hardide plc · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Latest close 1.00 GBP
-3.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 109.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a 40.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 66 out of 100
Latest Close 1.00 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -3.4% latest completed week
4W Return 40.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 156.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.53% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 109.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 90.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a 40.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 1.0012-week average 0.98

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 40.8% over four weeks, 156.4% over 12 weeks, and 1190.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.4%
4W40.8%
12W156.4%
26W334.8%
52W1190.3%
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change33.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership201.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change14.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 79%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength58/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality55/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Momentum55/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Growth55/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
4.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
1.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
39.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
57.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
27.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-2.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+46.2%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-3.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains13
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol13.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol18.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew16.6% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261.00 GBP-3.4%0.48 GBP0.16 GBP1.41201.171.3MOn
31 Jul 20261.03 GBP9.5%0.45 GBP0.15 GBP1.34229.991.5MOn
24 Jul 20260.94 GBP25.2%0.42 GBP0.14 GBP1.20223.703.7MOn
17 Jul 20260.76 GBP6.3%0.40 GBP0.14 GBP0.99177.54896.7KOn
10 Jul 20260.71 GBP2.9%0.37 GBP0.14 GBP1.05176.47708.5KOn
3 Jul 20260.69 GBP5.3%0.36 GBP0.13 GBP1.06176.8963.2KOn
26 Jun 20260.66 GBP-12.1%0.34 GBP0.13 GBP1.16179.86504.7KOn
19 Jun 20260.74 GBP24.2%0.32 GBP0.12 GBP1.32238.23577.5KOn
12 Jun 20260.60 GBP-1.6%0.30 GBP0.12 GBP1.24185.7379.1KOn
5 Jun 20260.61 GBP-5.4%0.28 GBP0.12 GBP1.04207.553.6MOn
29 May 20260.65 GBP29.0%0.26 GBP0.11 GBP0.86240.873.5MOn
22 May 20260.50 GBP28.2%0.24 GBP0.11 GBP0.70178.453.3MOn
15 May 20260.39 GBP9.9%0.23 GBP0.11 GBP0.52133.24877.1KOn
8 May 20260.35 GBP-5.3%0.22 GBP0.11 GBP0.67119.374.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context