AMS Equity Snapshot

ASML Weekly Report

ASML Holding N.V.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot Download PDF
Latest week 03 Jul 2026
Exchange AMS
Country NL
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Positive

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 72 Positive
Executive Read

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is sentiment: Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.

The main constraint is patient capital: Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

The combined read is constructive, but confirmation should still come from follow-through in price, volume, and group structure.

Support

Primary driver

Sentiment 80/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.

Restraint

Main constraint

Patient Capital Quiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Company Brief

What the company does

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers metrology and inspection systems, including YieldStar optical metrology systems, a diffraction-based wafer metrology platform to assess the quality of patterns on the wafers; and HMI electron beam solutions to locate and analyze individual chip …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

ASML closed the latest completed week at 1,634 EUR. The 4-week return is 11.8% and the 12-week return is 29.0%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 1.56. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 78/100 composite read.

Latest close 1,634 EUR
Latest week 3.6%
Four-week move 11.8%
Composite read 78/100
Trend backdrop Active
Activity pressure No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 31.5%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, activity pressure, relative leadership, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 90 Persistence of the active trend backdrop over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 100 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Activity Pressure 99 Latest activity pressure and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Leadership 100 Relative leadership and short-term leadership change.
Next-Week Expectancy 78 Historical one-week follow-through read for the latest completed-week setup state.
Volume 39 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Smart Money 53 Activity pressure and recent smart-money signal balance.
Risk Control 67 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul
Weekly return bar Trend backdrop dot Positive activity-pressure dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
584.7 EUR 90.8% 1,741 EUR
Range location 90.8% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance 31.5% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap 99.9% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -6.1% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

Latest close 1,634 EUR
Trend breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
1W 3.6%
4W 11.8%
12W 29.0%
26W 66.3%
52W 149.8%

Trend read

Active Streak
43 weeks
52W Active Weeks
43
52W Active Breadth
82.7%
Sector Scope
NL Technology
Sector Rank
6 of 13
Sector Percentile
58.3%
6 of 13
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

NL Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Tracked Peers
3
4W Rank
2 of 3
Avg 1W
1.0%
Avg 4W
8.3%
Trend Breadth
100.0%
Positive RS
100.0%
Trend 100.0% active weekly trend signals
MD 100.0% positive activity pressure
RS 100.0% positive relative leadership
ASML in group 11.8% 4-week rank 2 of 3
ASM · AMS 12.5% ASML · AMS 11.8% BESI · AMS 0.6%
Activity Pressure

Pressure, relative leadership, and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure and relative leadership show whether buying pressure and group strength are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Activity pressure Relative leadership

Pressure map

Activity pressure
Relative leadership
Pressure 1.56 Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change 257.9% Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership 43.11 Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change 4.2% Four-week change in relative leadership.
Next-week expectancy Positive 55.81% historical one-week setup read.
Indicator Analysis

Smart money, activity pressure, trend signals, and next-week expectancy

Recent confirmation shows whether the latest setup is supported by activity pressure, trend quality, relative leadership, and the short-term historical expectancy read.

Activity pressure path

Activity pressure Latest 0.95 12W avg 0.82

Next-week expectancy over time

Positive / negative next-week read Current Positive 55.81%

12-week confirmation

Trend active 12/12 Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure 6/12 Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership 12/12 Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure 0.95 Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals 0 Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers 7 7 reversal markers

Smart money activity

Support markers
0
Risk markers
7
Pressure positive weeks
12
Score input
0/100

No recent accumulation markers. 7 reversal markers.

Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 0.9x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 3.5M 13-week average volume.
One-year base 3.3M 52-week average volume.
Latest 3.3M Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 8
Modest gains 8
Flat weeks 0
Modest losses 7
Sharp losses 3
Recent vol 5.0% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 5.1% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 32/20 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 5.1% / -3.2% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Sentiment
80/100
Articles
1 relevant

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts
Evidence Matrix

Scorecard by research pillar

Weekly tape 78/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 78/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis 72/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.95; 7 reversal markers Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.81%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.81% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors 50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient Capital Quiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment 80/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 1 relevant articles.

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Price Target Raised by Jefferies on Strong Semiconductor Outlook Insiders 50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings 50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
AMS
Country
NL
Sector
Technology
Industry
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
537.3B

Opportunity signals

  • The trend backdrop is active with a 43-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.81% based on similar historical setup states.

Risk signals

  • 7 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value Pressure Leadership Volume Signal
3 Jul 2026 1,634 EUR 3.6% 1,243 EUR 817.6 EUR 1.56 43.11 3.3M On
26 Jun 2026 1,578 EUR -4.8% 1,220 EUR 811.2 EUR 1.50 43.17 3.6M On
19 Jun 2026 1,658 EUR 1.7% 1,198 EUR 805.2 EUR 1.26 50.05 6.0M On
12 Jun 2026 1,630 EUR 11.4% 1,170 EUR 798.6 EUR 0.93 49.41 4.5M On
5 Jun 2026 1,462 EUR 5.6% 1,145 EUR 792.2 EUR 0.44 41.36 3.3M On
29 May 2026 1,385 EUR -1.7% 1,125 EUR 787.0 EUR 0.18 36.50 3.2M On
22 May 2026 1,409 EUR 7.8% 1,109 EUR 782.4 EUR -0.12 39.28 3.1M On
15 May 2026 1,307 EUR -1.0% 1,092 EUR 777.6 EUR -0.42 35.33 3.0M On
8 May 2026 1,319 EUR 7.9% 1,078 EUR 773.2 EUR -0.47 37.32 3.4M On
1 May 2026 1,222 EUR -2.2% 1,061 EUR 768.5 EUR -0.44 29.26 2.2M On
24 Apr 2026 1,250 EUR 0.7% 1,049 EUR 764.3 EUR -0.33 32.75 2.6M On
17 Apr 2026 1,241 EUR -2.0% 1,034 EUR 759.9 EUR -0.15 33.00 4.0M On
10 Apr 2026 1,267 EUR 9.4% 1,019 EUR 755.6 EUR -0.02 39.23 3.8M On
3 Apr 2026 1,158 EUR 1.3% 999.9 EUR 751.2 EUR 0.08 33.35 3.0M On

Evidence rating

The evidence rating is the top-level Sharemaestro read. It blends market structure, trend evidence, activity pressure, value and quality context, options pressure, news tone, events, and research flow into a single directional summary.

Positive means the evidence stack is supportive. Neutral means the evidence is mixed or still forming. Caution or negative means the balance of evidence is less supportive and risk control matters more.

Weekly tape

The weekly tape is a completed-week view. It focuses on whether price, trend, activity, relative leadership, volume, and risk are confirming each other rather than reacting to a single noisy session.

Evidence scorecard

The scorecard separates the report into research pillars. A high score is supportive, a low score is restrictive, and neutral means that pillar is either balanced or not yet carrying enough evidence.

The purpose is not to force a trade call. It shows which parts of the evidence stack are helping, which parts are restraining, and where to drill down.

Setup cockpit

The cockpit compresses the broad setup into a radar and scoreboard. It is designed to show whether the current move has breadth across trend, activity, leadership, participation, and risk control.

Price context

Price context asks whether the stock is moving with or against its weekly structure. The Trend Line is the directional backdrop, Fair Value is the current valuation reference point, and the range map shows where price sits inside its recent trading range.

Pressure and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure looks for evidence that participation is supporting the move. Relative leadership compares the stock against its market backdrop. Next-week expectancy is a historical one-week follow-through read for similar setup states; it is not a broad trend call.

Indicator analysis

This section looks at whether the latest move is supported by the internal Sharemaestro indicator stack. The emphasis is on confirmation, persistence, and risk markers, not a single isolated reading.

Options pressure

Options pressure shows whether the options market is leaning bullish, bearish, mixed, or volatility-focused. It is supporting evidence only: options can confirm a setup, reveal disagreement, or highlight event risk.

Options involve substantial risk and can lose value rapidly. This report is educational market research, not investment or trading advice.