KMD ASX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

KMD Brands Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

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Latest close 1.50 AUD
-1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a 7.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 43/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 28 out of 100
Latest Close 1.50 AUD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -1.6% latest completed week
4W Return 7.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 3.8% 2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 32.27% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.1%. Indicator stack 2/61 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 32.27% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 43/100 9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a 7.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1712-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.1% over four weeks, 15.4% over 12 weeks, and -56.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.6%
4W7.1%
12W15.4%
26W-55.1%
52W-56.1%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change33.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-48.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jul 2025 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 42%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength52/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 49; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality7/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
24.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
56.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-5.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-3.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-9.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment43/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

0 positive · 6 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-67.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-25.7%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week-1.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses11
Recent vol8.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAU Apparel Manufacturing
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

KMD · ASX7.1%GLB · ASX4.0%MNC · ASX-11.1%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape20/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 20/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis25/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 32.27%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 32.27% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors39/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 78; Buyback Yield rank 57; Small Cap Core rank 11 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment43/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.

KMD Brands Price Target Cut 7.0% to NZ$2.00/Share by Forsyth Barr Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20261.50 AUD-1.6%2.08 AUD5.66 AUD0.48-48.12166.4KOff
31 Jul 20261.52 AUD7.0%2.15 AUD5.73 AUD0.52-46.32318.2KOff
24 Jul 20261.43 AUD-0.7%2.22 AUD5.80 AUD0.42-49.36212.9KOff
17 Jul 20261.44 AUD2.5%2.29 AUD5.87 AUD0.39-49.92419.3KOff
10 Jul 20261.40 AUD-4.1%2.37 AUD5.94 AUD0.36-51.91466.9KOff
3 Jul 20261.46 AUD0.7%2.45 AUD6.02 AUD0.29-50.81187.9KOff
26 Jun 20261.45 AUD-14.7%2.52 AUD6.10 AUD0.18-51.47282.0KOff
19 Jun 20261.70 AUD1.5%2.60 AUD6.18 AUD0.10-44.39470.0KOff
12 Jun 20261.68 AUD8.1%2.66 AUD6.25 AUD-0.37-45.82465.7KOff
5 Jun 20261.55 AUD-6.1%2.73 AUD6.33 AUD-0.82-49.70361.1KOff
29 May 20261.65 AUD24.5%2.81 AUD6.41 AUD-1.13-47.98553.3KOff
22 May 20261.32 AUD1.9%2.88 AUD6.50 AUD-1.44-58.54238.2KOff
15 May 20261.30 AUD-1.9%2.96 AUD6.58 AUD-1.39-59.98225.3KOff
8 May 20261.32 AUD1.9%3.06 AUD6.67 AUD-1.32-60.61302.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context