- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
RFG
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Retail Food Group Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
0.98 AUD
18.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.0%, after a 26.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
0.98 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
18.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
26.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
37.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.15% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
18.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 26.3%.
Indicator stack
0/94
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 39.15%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 25.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 18.0%, after a 26.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.03
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 26.3% over four weeks, 37.8% over 12 weeks, and -49.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change341.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change46.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 39%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength49/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Value92/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum3/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 70.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 1.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 4.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 1/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -26.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
3 positive · 13 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-56.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.0%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-18.6%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+18.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses6
Recent vol10.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -5.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank4 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Restaurants
4-week rank1 / 4
Group average17.6%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis19/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.15%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.15% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors38/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Tiny Titans rank 70; Buyback Yield rank 61; Small Cap Core rank 16 SVQF30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 180.5 of 257 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Is Retail Food Group (ASX:RFG) Entering a QSR Turning Point? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.98 AUD | 18.0% | 0.95 AUD | 2.04 AUD | 0.91 | -20.50 | 286.7K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.83 AUD | -1.2% | 0.97 AUD | 2.05 AUD | 0.67 | -31.59 | 68.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.84 AUD | 1.8% | 0.99 AUD | 2.05 AUD | 0.58 | -30.44 | 234.5K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.83 AUD | 6.4% | 1.01 AUD | 2.06 AUD | 0.33 | -33.07 | 72.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.78 AUD | -0.6% | 1.03 AUD | 2.07 AUD | 0.21 | -38.34 | 53.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.79 AUD | 4.7% | 1.06 AUD | 2.08 AUD | -0.20 | -39.39 | 90.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.75 AUD | -11.2% | 1.08 AUD | 2.09 AUD | -0.49 | -42.61 | 99.1K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.84 AUD | 30.0% | 1.11 AUD | 2.10 AUD | -0.81 | -37.12 | 154.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.65 AUD | 4.0% | 1.13 AUD | 2.11 AUD | -1.13 | -52.23 | 53.8K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.62 AUD | 4.2% | 1.16 AUD | 2.12 AUD | -1.13 | -53.87 | 518.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.60 AUD | -9.1% | 1.19 AUD | 2.13 AUD | -1.23 | -57.00 | 108.6K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.66 AUD | -7.7% | 1.22 AUD | 2.14 AUD | -1.24 | -53.08 | 204.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.71 AUD | -0.7% | 1.24 AUD | 2.15 AUD | -1.21 | -49.84 | 256.8K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.72 AUD | -18.6% | 1.26 AUD | 2.16 AUD | -1.13 | -50.97 | 455.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.