- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
MFD
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Mayfield Childcare Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Personal Services
Latest close
0.13 AUD
4.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -60.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a -31.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
25
out of 100
Latest Close
0.13 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
4.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-31.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-58.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
34.6%
18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
4.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -31.6%.
Indicator stack
19/30
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 35.92%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -60.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a -31.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.3x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0112-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -31.6% over four weeks, -58.7% over 12 weeks, and -63.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-2.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-66.58Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-31.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 76%
Model confidence 60%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength38/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Value42/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality41/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Momentum42/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Growth42/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework1/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 100.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 2.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 0.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -16.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -39.4% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -39.4% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -47.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
2 positive · 10 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-76.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility17.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher7 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.1%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-46.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains3
Flat weeks6
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol17.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -8.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank91 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Personal Services
4-week rank4 / 4
Group average-7.3%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD25.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape27/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.01; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.92%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.92% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors40/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 96 SVQF1/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 253.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Mayfield Childcare (ASX: MFD) Share Price Slides as Capital Raising Draws Investor Attention Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.13 AUD | 4.0% | 0.33 AUD | 0.51 AUD | -1.13 | -66.58 | 137.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.12 AUD | -7.4% | 0.34 AUD | 0.52 AUD | -1.12 | -67.24 | 10.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.14 AUD | -10.0% | 0.35 AUD | 0.53 AUD | -1.09 | -64.23 | 119.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.15 AUD | -21.1% | 0.36 AUD | 0.53 AUD | -1.10 | -60.76 | 123.0K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.19 AUD | 2.7% | 0.37 AUD | 0.54 AUD | -1.10 | -50.77 | 53.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.18 AUD | 32.1% | 0.38 AUD | 0.54 AUD | -1.13 | -52.63 | 504 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.14 AUD | -46.2% | 0.39 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -1.15 | -64.16 | 1.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.26 AUD | -3.7% | 0.40 AUD | 0.55 AUD | -1.17 | -34.65 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.27 AUD | 0.0% | 0.41 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.21 | -32.26 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.27 AUD | 1.9% | 0.42 AUD | 0.56 AUD | -1.25 | -31.26 | 28.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.27 AUD | -15.9% | 0.43 AUD | 0.57 AUD | -1.29 | -33.63 | 9.8K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.32 AUD | 0.0% | 0.43 AUD | 0.57 AUD | -1.25 | -20.86 | 0 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.32 AUD | 0.0% | 0.43 AUD | 0.58 AUD | -1.22 | -21.04 | 60.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.32 AUD | -3.1% | 0.44 AUD | 0.58 AUD | -1.16 | -22.62 | 68.2K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.