- The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
SRAIL
EBS
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Stadler Rail AG · Industrials · Railroads
Latest close
25.06 CHF
1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a 8.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
66
out of 100
Latest Close
25.06 CHF
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
44.2%
23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.67% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.6%.
Indicator stack
69/61
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.67%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
53/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.2%, after a 8.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9012-week average 0.87
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.6% over four weeks, 9.8% over 12 weeks, and 14.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-27.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change343.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
3 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCH Industrials
4-week rank19 / 58
Group average6.3%
Trend breadth32.8%
Trend32.8%active weekly trend signals
MD65.5%positive activity pressure
RS29.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCH Railroads
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape65/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis88/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.90; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.67%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.67% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
Stadler Rail AG Revenue Breakdown – SIX:SRAIL Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 25.06 CHF | 1.2% | 21.55 CHF | 23.33 CHF | 0.74 | 8.92 | 416.0K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 24.76 CHF | 4.6% | 21.35 CHF | 23.38 CHF | 0.75 | 8.94 | 608.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 23.68 CHF | 1.7% | 21.19 CHF | 23.43 CHF | 0.83 | 4.24 | 433.5K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 23.28 CHF | 0.9% | 21.05 CHF | 23.49 CHF | 0.95 | 2.19 | 717.5K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 23.08 CHF | -9.1% | 20.93 CHF | 23.54 CHF | 1.03 | 2.01 | 853.5K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 25.40 CHF | 10.0% | 20.80 CHF | 23.59 CHF | 1.02 | 10.68 | 225.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 23.10 CHF | 0.4% | 20.59 CHF | 23.63 CHF | 0.83 | 2.66 | 109.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 23.00 CHF | 3.7% | 20.48 CHF | 23.69 CHF | 0.85 | 5.22 | 171.5K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 22.18 CHF | -0.6% | 20.35 CHF | 23.75 CHF | 0.72 | 2.03 | 150.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 22.32 CHF | -2.4% | 20.25 CHF | 23.82 CHF | 0.79 | 5.15 | 92.2K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.86 CHF | 7.3% | 20.11 CHF | 23.88 CHF | 0.98 | 6.50 | 710.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 21.30 CHF | -6.7% | 19.99 CHF | 23.95 CHF | 1.04 | -0.46 | 720.3K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 22.82 CHF | -1.6% | 19.95 CHF | 24.02 CHF | 1.16 | 8.84 | 657.8K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 23.18 CHF | 4.0% | 19.84 CHF | 24.10 CHF | 1.26 | 11.62 | 1.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.