- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
NOVA
MIL
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Novamarine S.p.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Recreational Vehicles
Latest close
9.00 EUR
6.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 73.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.5%, after a -2.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
46
out of 100
Latest Close
9.00 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
6.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.51% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
6.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.2%.
Indicator stack
52/37
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 30.51%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 73.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.5%, after a -2.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5612-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.2% over four weeks, -4.3% over 12 weeks, and 62.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3487.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-5.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+6.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains6
Flat weeks4
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.8% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIT Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank23 / 43
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth27.9%
Trend27.9%active weekly trend signals
MD55.8%positive activity pressure
RS11.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIT Recreational Vehicles
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average9.6%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.56; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 30.51%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 30.51% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
NOVA Stock Price and Chart — MIL:NOVA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 9.00 EUR | 6.5% | 9.11 EUR | 5.98 EUR | -0.78 | -5.22 | 2.0K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8.45 EUR | -5.1% | 9.07 EUR | 5.95 EUR | -0.77 | -8.04 | 3.5K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8.90 EUR | -1.1% | 9.05 EUR | 5.92 EUR | -0.78 | -2.22 | 4.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 9.00 EUR | -2.2% | 9.01 EUR | 5.89 EUR | -0.80 | -0.98 | 500 | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 9.20 EUR | 0.5% | 8.96 EUR | 5.86 EUR | -0.85 | 0.15 | 500 | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 9.15 EUR | 2.2% | 8.91 EUR | 5.83 EUR | -0.96 | -0.33 | 0 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 8.95 EUR | 0.0% | 8.86 EUR | 5.80 EUR | -0.96 | 0.87 | 500 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 8.95 EUR | -1.1% | 8.83 EUR | 5.77 EUR | -0.94 | -1.59 | 1.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 9.05 EUR | -2.7% | 8.79 EUR | 5.73 EUR | -0.92 | 2.62 | 0 | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 9.30 EUR | -1.1% | 8.74 EUR | 5.70 EUR | -0.86 | 9.52 | 0 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 9.40 EUR | 3.3% | 8.69 EUR | 5.66 EUR | -0.78 | 11.25 | 500 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 9.10 EUR | -3.2% | 8.64 EUR | 5.62 EUR | -0.75 | 9.71 | 500 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 9.40 EUR | 0.0% | 8.60 EUR | 5.58 EUR | -0.67 | 15.36 | 0 | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 9.40 EUR | -1.1% | 8.52 EUR | 5.54 EUR | -0.47 | 16.26 | 4.0K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.