- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
MS51
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology · Computer Hardware
Latest close
26.54 EUR
10.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 28.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.2%, after a 5.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
26.54 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
10.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
5.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-1.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
30.8%
16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
10.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 5.7%.
Indicator stack
17/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 28.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.2%, after a 5.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3812-week average 0.37
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 5.7% over four weeks, -1.0% over 12 weeks, and -31.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-119.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-18.01Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change21.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength5/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Value40/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Quality6/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 13.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -27.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 8.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 4.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -20.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 7.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 46.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -9.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
3 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-47.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.4%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-28.1%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+10.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol16.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.2% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Technology
4-week rank37 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Computer Hardware
4-week rank3 / 6
Group average0.5%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape26/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis48/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.38; No reversal markers Factors13/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 27; Small Cap Core rank 52 SVQF36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 241.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Super Micro Computer (MS51) Q3 2026 Earnings Report - Results, Call & Slides Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 26.54 EUR | 10.2% | 26.24 EUR | 38.97 EUR | -0.07 | -18.01 | 303.6K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 24.08 EUR | -9.9% | 26.22 EUR | 39.07 EUR | 0.14 | -24.32 | 710.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26.74 EUR | 27.3% | 26.31 EUR | 39.20 EUR | 0.17 | -15.70 | 740.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 21.00 EUR | -16.3% | 26.28 EUR | 39.31 EUR | 0.23 | -33.89 | 443.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 25.10 EUR | 3.1% | 26.45 EUR | 39.46 EUR | 0.37 | -22.90 | 724.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 24.34 EUR | -10.8% | 26.54 EUR | 39.59 EUR | 0.32 | -28.11 | 19.1K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 27.30 EUR | 2.7% | 26.71 EUR | 39.72 EUR | 0.60 | -16.71 | 103.4K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 26.58 EUR | -0.6% | 26.76 EUR | 39.83 EUR | 0.78 | -20.64 | 60.1K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 26.74 EUR | -27.3% | 26.80 EUR | 39.94 EUR | 1.06 | -19.74 | 129.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 36.80 EUR | -8.0% | 26.97 EUR | 40.06 EUR | 1.18 | 9.18 | 94.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 40.00 EUR | 32.4% | 26.86 EUR | 40.09 EUR | 1.24 | 16.99 | 371.1K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 30.22 EUR | 12.8% | 27.00 EUR | 40.09 EUR | 0.97 | -10.68 | 474.0K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 26.80 EUR | -10.7% | 27.40 EUR | 40.18 EUR | 0.75 | -18.00 | 386.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 30.02 EUR | 29.2% | 27.99 EUR | 40.31 EUR | 0.57 | -10.41 | 646.7K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.