- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
KMD
NZE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
KMD Brands Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing
Latest close
1.80 NZD
-0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 7.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
29
out of 100
Latest Close
1.80 NZD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
12.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
13.5%
7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 30.05% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.1%.
Indicator stack
7/63
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 30.05%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
47/100
24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a 7.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2412-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.1% over four weeks, 12.5% over 12 weeks, and -52.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change65.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-44.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change12.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
4 positive · 14 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.7%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-24.8%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains5
Flat weeks5
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol10.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank2 / 15
Group average0.2%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD46.7%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Apparel Manufacturing
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average7.1%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape23/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis27/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 30.05%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 30.05% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.
KMD Brands Price Target Cut 7.0% to NZ$2.00/Share by Forsyth Barr Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.80 NZD | -0.6% | 2.47 NZD | 6.15 NZD | 0.40 | -44.99 | 180.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.81 NZD | 4.9% | 2.56 NZD | 6.22 NZD | 0.36 | -44.93 | 156.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.73 NZD | 1.8% | 2.64 NZD | 6.29 NZD | 0.27 | -48.44 | 169.3K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.70 NZD | 0.9% | 2.72 NZD | 6.37 NZD | 0.20 | -49.76 | 80.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.68 NZD | -9.2% | 2.80 NZD | 6.45 NZD | 0.24 | -51.17 | 254.4K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.85 NZD | 2.8% | 2.88 NZD | 6.52 NZD | 0.26 | -46.33 | 18.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.80 NZD | -10.0% | 2.96 NZD | 6.61 NZD | 0.16 | -48.02 | 227.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.00 NZD | -2.4% | 3.03 NZD | 6.69 NZD | 0.16 | -43.05 | 486.3K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.05 NZD | 10.8% | 3.10 NZD | 6.77 NZD | -0.29 | -41.96 | 480.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.85 NZD | -10.8% | 3.18 NZD | 6.85 NZD | -0.72 | -47.53 | 308.7K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.08 NZD | 29.7% | 3.25 NZD | 6.94 NZD | -0.94 | -42.42 | 708.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.60 NZD | 0.0% | 3.33 NZD | 7.03 NZD | -1.27 | -55.40 | 244.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.60 NZD | 0.0% | 3.42 NZD | 7.12 NZD | -1.28 | -56.11 | 285.1K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.60 NZD | 0.0% | 3.52 NZD | 7.21 NZD | -1.25 | -57.65 | 490.4K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.