XPBRA MCE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 7.21 EUR
-2.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a 4.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 70 out of 100
Latest Close 7.21 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -2.6% latest completed week
4W Return 4.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 277-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.70% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 4.6%. Indicator stack 100/44 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.70% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a 4.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8912-week average 0.94

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.6% over four weeks, 4.1% over 12 weeks, and 148.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 277 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.6%
4W4.6%
12W4.1%
26W48.3%
52W148.4%
Active trend streak277 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.51Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change38.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership23.09Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

0 positive · 19 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.7%Week of 24 Apr.
Worst week-9.5%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-2.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryES Oil & Gas Integrated
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average5.5%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

REP · MCE9.3%XPBRA · MCE4.6%XPBR · MCE2.6%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape74/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 74/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis70/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.89; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.70%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.70% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) details Sandia-1 offshore gas discovery in Colombia Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20267.21 EUR-2.6%6.27 EUR2.72 EUR-0.5123.0917.2KOn
31 Jul 20267.39 EUR1.0%6.17 EUR2.68 EUR-0.5330.244.2KOn
24 Jul 20267.32 EUR3.5%6.06 EUR2.64 EUR-0.6231.6714.7KOn
17 Jul 20267.08 EUR2.7%5.95 EUR2.59 EUR-0.7931.2017.1KOn
10 Jul 20266.89 EUR4.2%5.85 EUR2.55 EUR-0.8328.10104.4KOn
3 Jul 20266.61 EUR3.9%5.73 EUR2.51 EUR-0.7521.2637.1KOn
26 Jun 20266.36 EUR-0.0%5.63 EUR2.47 EUR-0.5420.230On
19 Jun 20266.37 EUR-9.5%5.53 EUR2.43 EUR-0.2421.810On
12 Jun 20267.03 EUR-0.1%5.44 EUR2.39 EUR0.1439.7760On
5 Jun 20267.04 EUR1.7%5.33 EUR2.35 EUR0.5144.792.8KOn
29 May 20266.92 EUR1.7%5.21 EUR2.31 EUR0.8544.2077.0KOn
22 May 20266.81 EUR-1.7%5.09 EUR2.26 EUR1.0846.716.4KOn
15 May 20266.92 EUR-1.2%4.97 EUR2.22 EUR1.3354.7518.4KOn
8 May 20267.01 EUR-3.3%4.85 EUR2.18 EUR1.3956.90272.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context