6273 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

SMC Corporation · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Latest close 74,190 JPY
5.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.3%, after a -1.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 74,190 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 5.3% latest completed week
4W Return -1.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 75.0% 39 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 39-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.3%, after a -1.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6412-week average 0.64

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.64Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.8% over four weeks, 9.3% over 12 weeks, and 51.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 39 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.3%
4W-1.8%
12W9.3%
26W15.6%
52W51.3%
Active trend streak39 weeks
Active weeks in one year39
Trend breadth75.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-158.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change233.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

2 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.7%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-18.1%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+5.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202674,190 JPY5.3%69,241 JPY63,807 JPY-0.421.991.9MOn
31 Jul 202670,480 JPY-0.7%68,706 JPY63,766 JPY-0.33-1.311.4MOn
24 Jul 202670,970 JPY2.5%68,158 JPY63,745 JPY-0.20-1.28905.7KOn
17 Jul 202669,230 JPY-8.4%67,566 JPY63,749 JPY-0.19-3.291.5MOn
10 Jul 202675,570 JPY-0.3%67,016 JPY63,758 JPY-0.16-1.491.5MOn
3 Jul 202675,800 JPY5.8%66,378 JPY63,737 JPY-0.53-3.10438.9KOn
26 Jun 202671,630 JPY-1.7%65,709 JPY63,721 JPY-0.81-8.24258.7KOn
19 Jun 202672,840 JPY11.2%65,136 JPY63,747 JPY-0.75-9.50543.9KOn
12 Jun 202665,510 JPY0.4%64,432 JPY63,764 JPY-0.73-12.55429.2KOn
5 Jun 202665,260 JPY-5.6%64,133 JPY63,845 JPY-0.46-14.16253.8KOn
29 May 202669,110 JPY4.3%63,724 JPY63,909 JPY0.03-9.332.4MOn
22 May 202666,270 JPY-2.4%63,158 JPY63,935 JPY0.29-9.492.4MOn
15 May 202667,880 JPY-18.1%62,661 JPY63,963 JPY0.24-4.952.9MOn
8 May 202682,860 JPY10.1%62,057 JPY63,986 JPY0.2413.091.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context