JNB Equity Snapshot

KIO Weekly Equity Report

Kumba Iron Ore Limited

Latest Close 30,519 ZAC 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return -3.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Kumba Iron Ore Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, extraction, beneficiation, marketing, sale, and shipping of iron ore for the steel industry in South Africa. It operates through Products – Sishen Mine, Products – Kolomela Mine, Services – Logistics, and Services – Shipping Operations segments. The company produces iron ore at its flagship Sishen mine located near the town of Kathu in the Northern Cape province; and its Kolomela mine located near Postmasburg in the Northern Cape province. It is also involved in the operation of a port in Saldanha Bay in …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

KIO closed the latest completed week at 30,519 ZAC. The 4-week return is -3.2% and the 12-week return is 0.8%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.82. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 36/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -8.9%
Volume 1.2x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 24 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 43 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 38 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 26 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 50 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 34 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
33,484 ZAC
Vs Trend Line
-8.9%
Fair Value
39,154 ZAC
Vs Fair Value
-22.1%
52W High
39,513 ZAC
52W Low
26,763 ZAC
Drawdown
-22.8%
Range Position
29.5%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 1.7%
4W -3.2%
12W 0.8%
26W -10.5%
52W 8.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
23
52W Active Breadth
44.2%
Sector Scope
ZA Basic Materials
Sector Rank
6 of 41
Sector Percentile
87.5%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.82
4W MD Change
30.5%
Relative Strength
-7.60
4W RS Change
-10.2%
Expectation
Negative
Probability
44.22%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
1.7M
13W Average
1.4M
52W Average
2.2M
Vs 13W
1.2x
Vs 52W
0.8x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.1%
52W Volatility
4.1%
Upside Weeks
28
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.3% / -3.4%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JNB
Country
ZA
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Steel
Currency
ZAC
Market Cap
100.3B

Opportunity signals

  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 30,519 ZAC 1.7% 33,484 ZAC 39,154 ZAC -0.82 -7.60 1.7M Off
5 Jun 2026 30,000 ZAC -7.5% 33,572 ZAC 39,293 ZAC -0.99 -8.14 1.2M Off
29 May 2026 32,431 ZAC 7.3% 33,669 ZAC 39,418 ZAC -0.92 -3.80 1.4M Off
22 May 2026 30,226 ZAC -4.2% 33,739 ZAC 39,509 ZAC -1.15 -9.39 1.3M Off
15 May 2026 31,541 ZAC -2.5% 33,802 ZAC 39,598 ZAC -1.18 -6.89 843.1K Off
8 May 2026 32,360 ZAC 3.6% 33,802 ZAC 39,695 ZAC -1.18 -7.56 1.3M Off
1 May 2026 31,248 ZAC 0.6% 33,772 ZAC 39,782 ZAC -1.26 -8.98 654.5K Off
24 Apr 2026 31,071 ZAC -4.1% 33,823 ZAC 39,873 ZAC -1.25 -11.04 1.0M Off
17 Apr 2026 32,410 ZAC 0.3% 33,866 ZAC 39,957 ZAC -1.17 -11.28 1.3M Off
10 Apr 2026 32,304 ZAC -0.8% 33,874 ZAC 40,037 ZAC -1.16 -10.33 1.6M Off
3 Apr 2026 32,578 ZAC 5.2% 33,868 ZAC 40,137 ZAC -1.13 -7.75 1.0M Off
27 Mar 2026 30,967 ZAC 2.3% 33,839 ZAC 40,214 ZAC -0.96 -9.21 2.6M Off
20 Mar 2026 30,266 ZAC -4.3% 33,884 ZAC 40,302 ZAC -0.38 -10.38 2.3M Off
13 Mar 2026 31,611 ZAC -8.0% 33,834 ZAC 40,382 ZAC 0.13 -10.95 2.5M On